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Chris WelshJul 5, 2025

The host endorses Darnell Mooney as a clear value, saying they'll deliver WR3-caliber production while being drafted as a WR5.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Sleeper CallsThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−200Skillafter difficulty

What Chris Welsh said

it seems like a foregone conclusion that Darnell Mooney is going to have like that sneaky wide receiver three upside here and he's going as like a wide receiver five
Our reading: Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (going as like a wide receiver five)
The episode
FantasyPros - 12 Draft Picks With MASSIVE UPSIDE You Should Be Targeting in 2025 (Ep. 1603)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJul 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 19, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Sleeper CallsDarnell MooneyAtlanta Falcons

    Darnell Mooney to outplay his draft cost (going as like a wide receiver five)

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    going as like a wide receiver five
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Darnell Mooney
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    had to beat:
    WR31
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    WR80
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
    Think this is wrong?

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