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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 3, 2025

Brockman built the show around Saquon Barkley, whom they had earlier predicted would be the first non-quarterback MVP and who they expect to have a monster Super Bowl. They also predicted the Raiders return to the playoffs next season and that Myles Garrett gets traded to a contender after their request.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 misses · 1 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I had the Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon will be first non QB MVP.
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode
Super Bowl LIX Preview - The Loser Misses The Playoffs Next Season
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidFeb 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026
  1. 1Saquon Barkley to win MVP“I had the Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon will be first non QB MVP.”
  2. 2Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs“And we're speaking of the Raiders. They're gonna be back in the playoffs next year. Pete Carroll, Chip Kelly now running the offense.”
  3. 3Myles Garrett to move“star players get their wish usually no matter the sport... We know that he's going to a team that can can contend and win a Super Bowl.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Saquon Barkley to win MVP1Award PicksJosh Allen won000
Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs2Playoff PicksMissed the playoffs0100−100
Myles Garrett to move3Trade and Signing Calls————
3 calls · 2 misses · 1 waiting050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksSaquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles

    Saquon Barkley to win MVP

    What happenedJosh Allen woncalled Saquon Barkley
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Saquon Barkley
    season:
    2024
    who won:
    Josh Allen
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Playoff PicksLas Vegas Raiders

    Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs

    What happenedMissed the playoffs
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    LV
    skill:
    −100
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsMyles Garrett

    Myles Garrett to move

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 50

Who this take is about

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