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Chris Brockman· Feb 3, 2025

Brockman built the show around Saquon Barkley, whom he had earlier predicted would be the first non-quarterback MVP and who he expects to have a monster Super Bowl. He also predicted the Raiders return to the playoffs next season and that Myles Garrett gets traded to a contender after his request.

“I had the Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon will be first non QB MVP.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Saquon Barkley to win MVP

    “I had the Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon will be first non QB MVP.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Saquon Barkley
    season:
    2024
    winner:
    Josh Allen
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs

    “And we're speaking of the Raiders. They're gonna be back in the playoffs next year. Pete Carroll, Chip Kelly now running the offense.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    LV
    skill:
    -100
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Myles Garrett to move

    “star players get their wish usually no matter the sport... We know that he's going to a team that can can contend and win a Super Bowl.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More award picks

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