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Jake Ciely#20 of 87 NFL pundits · Jul 20, 2026

Jake Seely's blueprint starts with Puka Nacua as their No. 1 wide receiver, then leans on running back value (Chase Brown, Kyren Williams), a Terry McLaurin bounce back, a Marvin Harrison gamble, Sam LaPorta as Detroit's No. 2 target, and late upside in Dart, Addison, Downs, Coker, Kamara and Keaton Mitchell.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting21 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 21Settled21 still waiting
#20Jake Ciely’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jake Ciely said

But as seventeen games with Matthew Stafford, he's probably gonna be the number one wide receiver again.
Jake Ciely, the lead quote
The episode
FantasyPros - The PERFECT Fantasy Football Draft Strategy for 2026 | The Top Value Picks in Every Round (Ep. 2092)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Sleeper Calls00013
Positional Finishes0005
Depth Chart Calls0002
Player Season Numbers0001
All00021

How each call scored

21 checkable claims — 13 sleeper calls, 5 positional finishes, 2 depth chart calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 4 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Sleeper Calls13 waitingShow ▸
  1. Sam LaPorta to outplay his draft cost (round seven)

    “top three tight end potential, but guess where he's going round seven”

    Sam LaPortaDetroit Lions

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (third round)

    “It's the value here running back, and it's Kyraen Williams if I can get him in the third round”

    Kyren Williams

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Keaton Mitchell to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)

    “you're looking at potential standalone RB three value in round fourteen for running back, So I'm taking a lot of Keaton Mitchell”

    Keaton MitchellLos Angeles Chargers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (twelfth round)

    “also saying Jadan Higgins, those are my two favorite wide receivers to be drafting in this round”

    Jayden Higgins

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (tenth round)

    “If you can tell me I can get a double digit round wide receiver with the potential for one hundred targets... And it's Josh Downs”

    Josh Downs

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (eighth round)

    “So you give me Jackson Dart at quarterback in this offense, with or without Malak Neighbors, twenty fantasy points per game”

    Jaxson DartNew York Giants

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. Marvin Harrison Jr. to outplay his draft cost (sixth round)

    “I think the here is so low that Marvin Harrison is now worth taking that gamble on us a sixth rounder”

    Marvin Harrison Jr.

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (second round)

    “I do love this one mostly because I have Chase Brown as a first round pick... I have him at eleven overall... all of a sudden, we're talking about Chase Brown is a top six running back”

    Chase BrownCincinnati Bengals

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  9. Alvin Kamara to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)

    “why is Alvin Kamara in round thirteen... K Kamara is going to move up now to the contract and he's officially here”

    Alvin Kamara

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  10. Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (twelfth round)

    “Is Jalen Coker just in this range... those are my two favorite wide receivers to be drafting in this round”

    Jalen CokerCarolina Panthers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  11. Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (eleventh round)

    “Yeah, Jonathan Brooks... it really just comes down to the upside. If he's anything close to one hundred percent, he could take this job mid season”

    Jonathon Brooks

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  12. Jordan Addison to outplay his draft cost (ninth round)

    “I'm just looking at Addison at this range, ninth round... so Jordan ass in this range, I think is just buying all the ceiling potential here”

    Jordan AddisonMinnesota Vikings

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  13. Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (fourth round)

    “Barely checks into the fourth round, and I'm willing to take McLaurin all the time here... he's one of my favorite bounce backs this year”

    Terry McLaurin

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Positional Finishes5 waitingShow ▸
  1. Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points

    “Niku is my number one wide receiver... as seventeen games with Matthew Stafford, he's probably gonna be the number one wide receiver Again.”

    Puka Nacua

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. David Montgomery to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points

    “you're going to be in the back end of the RB two conversation... I'm going to take you in that range of having the top twenty four upside”

    David MontgomeryHouston Texans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. A.J. Brown to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points

    “I am at six and I got so much pushback from both of them”

    A.J. BrownNew England Patriots

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Kyren Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points

    “But to get him as a fringe RB two or fringe RB one slash two at this point, it's clearly top fifteen in my opinion in the third round.”

    Kyren Williams

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. Terry McLaurin to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points

    “that's what he just needs to bounce back to and he'll be a top twenty wide Receiver like he always was”

    Terry McLaurin

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Depth Chart Calls2 waitingShow ▸
  1. Jalen Coker to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “I know Coker is the two. The Panthers gave him that contract when they didn't need to, and they told us he's our number two.”

    Jalen CokerCarolina Panthers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “I would bet money today Laporte is the number two target earner on this team.”

    Sam LaPortaDetroit Lions

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Player Season Numbers1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Jaxson Dart to record 6–8 rushing yards

    “with the potential for more because he's gonna be running for six, seven, eight hundred yards”

    Jaxson DartNew York Giants

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.