Todd McShayMar 20, 2025
McShay expects Tennessee to finalize on Cam Ward at No. 1, has Cleveland taking Shedeur Sanders at No. 2 and the Giants taking Travis Hunter at No. 3 in their mock draft 2.0, and feels strongly the top four picks are Ward, Abdul Carter, Hunter and Sanders.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Todd McShay said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI feel strongly that there's a good chance the four players are Cam Ward, Abdul Carter, Travis Hunter, and Shador Sanders going in the top four picks.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Todd McShay: We Should Find Out Soon If The Titans Keep Or Trade The Number 1 Pick
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 20, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Abdul Carter to be picked “top four picks” (picks 1–4)“I feel strongly that there's a good chance the four players are Cam Ward, Abdul Carter, Travis Hunter, and Shador Sanders going in the top four picks.”
- 2Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“I think they're getting close to finalizing the decision that Cam Ward's the number one pick.”
- 3Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2“I went with Cleveland taking Shador Sanders, and here's why... there's a lot of elements to the Cleveland decision at two.”
- 4Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3“for the Giants... I I think if it goes quarterback one two, it comes down to Hunter versus Abdul Carter. I went with Hunter.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Carter to be picked “top four picks” (picks 1–4)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 3 | 100 | 50 | +25 | |
| Cam Ward to be picked at number 12 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | +25 | |
| Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 23 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 144 | 0.21 | 50 | +25 | |
| Travis Hunter to be picked at number 34 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 2 | 95.76 | 50 | +25 | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 74 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 74 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Abdul Carter to be picked “top four picks” (picks 1–4)
What happenedWent 3100Hit · naive 5075this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=25better than naive×1difficulty=+25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top four picks (picks 1–4)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
2Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee Titans
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 5075this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=25better than naive×1difficulty=+25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
3Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersCleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2
What happenedWent 144mocked at 20.21Miss · naive 5075this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=25better than naive×1difficulty=+25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.21
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.21
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
4Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterNew York Giants
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3
What happenedWent 2mocked at 395.76Hit · naive 5075this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=25better than naive×1difficulty=+25skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 25
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 75
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
74naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
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Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick.