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Charles DavisMar 27, 2026

In a mock draft, Davis projected the Arizona Cardinals selecting Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson with the No. 3 overall pick.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Cardinals (podcast)Hear the original

65Close · out of 100
Went 13What happenedmocked at 3
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
64.84This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Charles Davis said

He put a mock draft out yesterday ... where he had Ty Simpson being chosen by the Arizona Cardinals at number three overall.
Our reading: Ty Simpson to be picked at number 3
The episode
Arizona Cardinals Set to Take Ty Simpson at #3 in Latest Mock Draft: What are We Doing Here Guys?
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 27
  2. GradedAug 14

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 64.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Ty Simpson · 2026 season · overall pick

7 calls from 7 pundits between 3 overall pick and 32 overall pick. Charles Davis said 3 overall pick. the room's median is 29 overall pick. what happened: 13 overall pick

Charles Davis — 3 overall pickthe room — 7 calls from 7 punditsmedian 29 overall pickwhat happened — 13 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
3They said
13What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonArizona Cardinals

    Ty Simpson to be picked at number 3

    What happenedWent 13mocked at 3
    64.84Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.