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Joel KlattApr 24, 2025

Klatt pushed back on Cowherd's mock, predicting Jeanty goes fifth to Jacksonville, Armand Mimbo won't get past the Bears (and isn't a top-ten pick), Will Johnson and Jihad Campbell slide over medicals, a Loveland trade-up would come from Denver, and the Giants take Abdul Carter at three. They also called Loveland their top tight end and Cam Ward the best quarterback in the class.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

6 of 6calls landed6 hits · all settled
95.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
40.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Joel Klatt said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Genti's going five Jacksonville.
Joel Klatt, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 2 - Colin's NFL Mock Draft
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 24, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11“What about the Niners in Kelvin Banks... they need everything... I believe that they're gonna just take the best overall player”
  2. 2Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board“Cam Ward is the best available quarterback this year... And yet this year he's going to be number one.”
  3. 3Colston Loveland to be 1st tight end off the board“I love Colston Loveland. I have him as my top tight end in the draft.”
  4. 4Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3“I would be shocked if New York doesn't select him at three.”
  5. 5Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5“Genti's going five Jacksonville.”
  6. 6Armand Membou to be picked at number 10“Mimbo does not get past the Bears. There's no chance Mimbo is going to be a top ten pick... watch out for Mimbo. In the top ten”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 111Mock Draft PicksWent 991.750+50
Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board2Position Order Calls—10024.2+75.8
Colston Loveland to be 1st tight end off the board3Position Order Calls—10021.26+78.74
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 34Mock Draft PicksWent 310050+50
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 55Mock Draft PicksWent 695.7650+50
Armand Membou to be picked at number 106Mock Draft PicksWent 787.8150+50
6 calls · 6 hits · all settled95.940.9

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

6 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 95.9 out of 100, against 40.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
11They said
9What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksKelvin Banks Jr.San Francisco 49ers

    Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11

    What happenedWent 9mocked at 11
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Kelvin Banks Jr.
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Position Order CallsCam Ward

    Cam Ward to be 1st quarterback off the board

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 24.2
    100this call24.2a naive guess75.8better than naive1difficulty+75.8skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 14 at random averages 24.2
    skill:
    75.8
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    24.2
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Position Order CallsColston Loveland

    Colston Loveland to be 1st tight end off the board

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 21.26
    100this call21.26a naive guess78.74better than naive1difficulty+78.74skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    naming one of the 16 at random averages 21.26
    skill:
    78.74
    player:
    Colston Loveland
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    21.26
    position:
    tight end
    class size:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksAbdul Carter

    Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3

    What happenedWent 3mocked at 3
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Abdul Carter
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksAshton JeantyJacksonville Jaguars

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5

    What happenedWent 6mocked at 5
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Mock Draft PicksArmand MembouChicago Bears

    Armand Membou to be picked at number 10

    What happenedWent 7mocked at 10
    87.81Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Armand Membou
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    95.9naive 40.9

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