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Kyle CrabbsApr 21, 2025

Crabbs publishes their final Top-320 big board for the 2025 NFL Draft, ranking Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Ashton Jeanty third, and says Jeanty is a virtual lock to be drafted inside the top 10.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Went 6What happenedmocked at 10
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Kyle Crabbs said

He feels like a top-10 shoo-in on the doorstep of the draft.
Our reading: Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 10
Where it was published
The 33rd Team
The piece
2025 NFL Draft: Updated NFL Big Board, Final Top 320 Rankings
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidApr 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top-10 (picks 1–10)They said
6What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksAshton Jeanty

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 10

    What happenedWent 6mocked at 10
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top-10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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