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Kyle Crabbs· Apr 21, 2025

Crabbs publishes his final Top-320 big board for the 2025 NFL Draft, ranking Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Ashton Jeanty third, and says Jeanty is a virtual lock to be drafted inside the top 10.

“He feels like a top-10 shoo-in on the doorstep of the draft.”

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top-10 (picks 1–10)They said
6What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 10

    “He feels like a top-10 shoo-in on the doorstep of the draft.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top-10 (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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