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John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 22, 2026

Breech picked the Bears to beat the Patriots 27-20 on Thursday night, and in Week 7 took the Chiefs to upset the Seahawks 27-20, largely because of Kenneth Walker's long personal winning streak.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
61.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
72.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
John Breech's pick: Bears 27-20 over Patriots
John Breech, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Pick Six: Patriots-Bears predictions for Thursday night, plus NFL Week 7 picks and possible upsets
The original
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  1. SaidOct 22
  2. PlayedOct 22–25
  3. GradedOct 23–26
  1. 1Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Seahawks 20“John Breech — Chiefs (+2.5) 27-20 over Seahawks. From me: "This is the Kenneth Walker revenge game."”
  2. 2Chicago Bears 27 — Patriots 20“John Breech's pick: Bears 27-20 over Patriots”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Seahawks 201Score PredictionsSeahawks 20–326.1958.69−54.28
Chicago Bears 27 — Patriots 202Score PredictionsBears 30–2497.6286.37+18.78
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled61.972.5

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 61.9 out of 100, against 72.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Seahawks 20

    What happenedSeahawks 20–3called Chiefs by 7 · lost by 17
    26.19Miss · naive 58.69
    26.19this call58.69a naive guess−32.5worse than naive1.67difficulty−54.28skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): Seahawks by 3, total 43.5 · this 27–20 calls a Chiefs win (by 7; the line gave the Chiefs 41%) and more points (47). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    −54.28
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    26.19
    baseline:
    58.69
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.35
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears 27 — Patriots 20

    What happenedBears 30–24called Bears by 7 · won by 6
    97.62Hit · naive 86.37
    97.62this call86.37a naive guess11.25better than naive1.67difficulty+18.78skill

    Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 7) and fewer points (47).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-30
    skill:
    18.78
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    86.37
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    0.28
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    61.9naive 72.5

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