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David DroegemeierSep 8, 2026

Drogmeier also buys the Chargers as a top-five offense, thinks Ladd McConkie reaching roughly 100 catches/top-five in receptions is realistic, predicts the Chargers beat the Bills, projects six to eight and a half sacks for Justin Eboigbe, and expects Khalil Mack to retire after the season.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chargers (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 3 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
3Waitingnot graded yet

What David Droegemeier said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I feel like the chargers can beat the bills, and I feel like they will.
David Droegemeier, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
ELITE: Chargers to DELIVER a Top 5 Offense in 2026 with Special Mike McDaniel & Justin Herbert Duo
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 8
  2. PlayedSep 27
  3. GradedSep 28
  1. 1Los Angeles Chargers to beat bills“I feel like the chargers can beat the bills, and I feel like they will. I think that's gonna be a a big shot game.”
  2. 2Khalil Mack to move to Los Angeles Chargers“They have Khalil Mack who is probably going to retire after the season and is a threat to retire at any moment.”
  3. 3Ladd McConkey to record 100 receptions“If you get into the top five, it was a 100 catches. ... I think that to me is probably a little bit more realistic, when it comes to Ladd McConkie”
  4. 4Justin Eboigbe to record 6–8.5 sacks“I do feel like we're gonna see somewhere in the neighborhood of six to eight and a half”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Chargers to beat bills1Game Outcome PicksBills 24–160100−200
Khalil Mack to move to Los Angeles Chargers2Trade and Signing Calls————
Ladd McConkey to record 100 receptions3Player Season Numbers————
Justin Eboigbe to record 6–8.5 sacks4Player Season Numbers————
4 calls · 1 miss · 3 waiting0100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers, 1 game outcome pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Chargers

    Los Angeles Chargers to beat bills

    What happenedBills 24–16Chargers at Bills
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    16-24
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsKhalil MackLos Angeles Chargers

    Khalil Mack to move to Los Angeles Chargers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.