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Jonas Knox#69 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025

Jonas Knox picked Philadelphia, Green Bay, Atlanta and San Francisco to win the NFC divisions, with the Giants last in the East and Seattle last in the West, and said Jackson Dart will get the starting opportunity in New York.

Said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 9calls landed5 hits · 4 misses · all settled
55Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls
50.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
9 of 9Settlednone still waiting
#69Jonas Knox’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jonas Knox said

I think Philly's the pick to go with here.
Jonas Knox, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 2: Jonas, Brady & LaVar – NFC PREDICTIONS
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 4, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Division Winners1030
Power Rankings3010
Depth Chart Calls1000
All5040

How each call scored

9 checkable claims — 4 division winners, 4 power rankings and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 9 have settled, averaging 55 out of 100, against 50.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners1 hit · 3 missesShow ▸
  1. San Francisco 49ers to win the division

    “In the NFC West, I've got the forty nine Ers winning the division a much easier schedule.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Philadelphia Eagles to win the division

    “I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Atlanta Falcons to win the division

    “To the NFC South, I've got the Atlanta Falcons winning the division”

    Atlanta Falcons

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Green Bay Packers to win the division

    “Going over to the North, I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division”

    Green Bay Packers

    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Power Rankings3 hits · 1 missShow ▸
  1. “I've got the forty nine Ers winning the division... I would have taken the LA Rams, but I'm not sold on Matthew Stafford... followed by the Arizona Cardinals and the Seattle Seahawks”

    Los Angeles Rams

    25Miss

    25 − 75 naive = −50 × 2 difficulty = −100 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    −100
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    25
    baseline:
    75
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. “I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division, followed by the Chicago Bears, the Detroit Lions, and the Minnesota Vikings.”

    90Hit

    90 − 10 naive = 80 × 2 difficulty = +160 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    160
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. “I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East, I've got Washington second, the Dallas Cowboys third, and the New York Giants fourth.”

    90Hit

    90 − 90 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. “I'm going to go with Atlanta winning the NFC South, followed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Carolina Panthers, and the New Orleans Saints”

    90Hit

    90 − 90 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls1 hitShow ▸
  1. Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think at some point, probably pretty early on, Jackson Dart's going to get his opportunity there”

    Jaxson DartNew York Giants

    No. 1called No. 1 · by passing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 91.67 naive = 8.33 × 2 difficulty = +16.67 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.