Jonas Knox· Sep 4, 2025

Jonas Knox picked Philadelphia, Green Bay, Atlanta and San Francisco to win the NFC divisions, with the Giants last in the East and Seattle last in the West, and said Jackson Dart will get the starting opportunity in New York.

“I think Philly's the pick to go with here.”

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

9 checkable claims — 4 division winners, 4 power rankings and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 9 have settled, averaging 55 out of 100, against 50.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

9 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Division Winners San Francisco 49ersSep 4, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to win the division
“In the NFC West, I've got the forty nine Ers winning the division a much easier schedule.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
SF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
“I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Atlanta FalconsSep 4, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to win the division
“To the NFC South, I've got the Atlanta Falcons winning the division”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
ATL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Green Bay PackersSep 4, 2025
Green Bay Packers to win the division
“Going over to the North, I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Power Rankings Los Angeles RamsSep 4, 2025
“I've got the forty nine Ers winning the division... I would have taken the LA Rams, but I'm not sold on Matthew Stafford... followed by the Arizona Cardinals and the Seattle Seahawks”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 75-100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-100
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
25
baseline:
75
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I've got the Green Bay Packers winning the division, followed by the Chicago Bears, the Detroit Lions, and the Minnesota Vikings.”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 10+160 skill
How this was scored
skill:
160
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Jaxson Dart New York GiantsSep 4, 2025
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think at some point, probably pretty early on, Jackson Dart's going to get his opportunity there”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I think Philly's the pick to go with here. In the NFC East, I've got Washington second, the Dallas Cowboys third, and the New York Giants fourth.”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I'm going to go with Atlanta winning the NFC South, followed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Carolina Panthers, and the New Orleans Saints”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersHit · 88
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0
Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesMiss · 0
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.

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Who this take is about

9 checkable claims in this take

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