Jack McKessyAug 2, 2026
McKessy makes way-too-early 2022 NFL awards picks: Mahomes for MVP, Jonathan Taylor for OPOY, Aaron Donald (or Micah Parsons if Donald retires) for DPOY, Kenny Pickett for OROY, Kayvon Thibodeaux for DROY, Michael Thomas for Comeback Player, and Mike Tomlin for Coach of the Year.
Published in writing · The Draft NetworkRead the original
What Jack McKessy said
The fifth-year starter will return to his early-season form with no picks in September and ride that momentum to high production and his second MVP award.
- Where it was published
- The Draft Network
- The piece
- 2022 NFL Awards Predictions: Who'll Be MVP, ROTY? | The Draft Network
- The original
- The copy as archived Feb 18, 2022
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.
- SaidAug 2
- GradedAug 5
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Position Order Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Award Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Coach Award Picks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
How each call scored
9 checkable claims — 7 award picks, 1 coach award pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 36.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Position Order Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Kenny Pickett to be first or second quarterback off the board quarterback off the board
“Pickett will likely be the first or second quarterback off the board in this year's draft”
100Hit100 − 36.26 naive = 63.74 × 1 difficulty = +63.74 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2022
- naive:
- naming one of the 9 at random averages 36.26
- skill:
- 63.74
- player:
- Kenny Pickett
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 36.26
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1–2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Award Picks7 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Aaron Donald to win Defensive Player of the Year
“DPOY: Aaron Donald OR Micah Parsons ... it would be hard not to pick him here.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
“OPOY: Jonathan Taylor ... That being said, Taylor is my choice here.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Patrick Mahomes to win MVP
“MVP: Patrick Mahomes ... ride that momentum to high production and his second MVP award.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kenny Pickett to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“OROY: Kenny Pickett ... I still feel pretty decent about going with Pickett here.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Michael Thomas to win Comeback Player of the Year
“CPOY: Michael Thomas ... Thomas is a pretty safe bet here though.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kayvon Thibodeaux to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
“DROY: Kayvon Thibodeaux ... Thibodeaux is probably going to dominate no matter where he ends up.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year
“If Donald does retire, it's Parsons who takes home this award.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Coach Award Picks1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Mike Tomlin to win Coach of the Year
“COTY: Mike Tomlin ... that could absolutely be enough to earn him his second Coach of the Year award.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Willie Colon · Award Picks · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP.Danny Parkins · Award Picks · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Miss 0
Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.