Daniel Jeremiah#25 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 27, 2026

Jeremiah unveiled their first mock draft of the cycle, projecting all 32 first-round picks, led by Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 to the Raiders, Arnold Reese to the Jets at No. 2, and offensive linemen Spencer Fano and Francis Malioa going back-to-back to Arizona and Tennessee.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

14 of 32calls landed14 hits · 12 close calls · 6 misses · all settled

68.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 32 calls

48.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

32 of 32Settlednone still waiting

#25Daniel Jeremiah’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Daniel Jeremiah said

Fantom Mendoza goes one.

Daniel Jeremiah, the lead quote

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: Daniel Jeremiah's Mock Draft 1.0
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJan 26
GradedAug 17–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses
Mock Draft Picks	13	12	6
Position Order Calls	1	0	0
All	14	12	6

How each call scored

32 checkable claims — 31 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 54 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 32 have settled, averaging 68.7 out of 100, against 48.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

15They said

41What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks13 hits · 12 close calls · 6 missesShow ▸

Cashius Howell to be picked at number 15
“the Tampa Bay Bucks at fifteen to go get cash? Is how the edge from A and M”
Cashius Howell Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Went 41mocked at 15
32.42Miss
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Cashius Howell
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
32.42
baseline:
50
actual pick:
41
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
32.42
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
C.J. Allen to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“The Bills... Matt Mlano Shack Thompson both free agents. So c J. Allen from Georgia, who's just a rock solid player”
C.J. Allen Buffalo Bills
Went 53
40.26Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
C.J. Allen
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
40.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
53
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
40.26
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“r bel Reese two. To the Jets, someone who's played off the ball... I like him as a as an edge rusher”
Arvell Reese New York Jets
Went 5mocked at 2
87.81Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 16
“Cardinal take look Carnel take in... So I had him going to the Jets there at sixteen”
Carnell Tate New York Jets
Went 4mocked at 16
59.46Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
59.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
59.46
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 4
“two offensive linemen going back to back with Arizona and Tennessee. Spencer Fano from Utah and then Francis malioa... massive tackle there at Miami”
Francis Mauigoa Tennessee Titans
Went 10mocked at 4
77.11Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 23
“you've got some blue blood's coming off next with Clemson and Avian Tarrell”
Avieon Terrell
Went 48mocked at 23
33.86Miss
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Avieon Terrell
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
33.86
baseline:
50
actual pick:
48
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
33.86
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 10
“at ten, I had the Cincinnati Bengals going with McCoy, Jamal McCoy corner from Tennessee”
Jermod McCoy Cincinnati Bengals
Went 101mocked at 10
1.94Miss
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Jermod McCoy
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
1.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
101
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
1.94
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 25
“The Bears at twenty five, Dylan Thieneman”
Dillon Thieneman Chicago Bears
Went 25mocked at 25
100Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 18
“Emmanuel McNeil Warren one of my draft crushes, a safety out of Toledo”
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
Went 58mocked at 18
17.68Miss
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
17.68
baseline:
50
actual pick:
58
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
17.68
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 21
“another big physical dude to go along with DK Metcalf. If we're going to the Steelers there at twenty one”
Denzel Boston Pittsburgh Steelers
Went 39mocked at 21
45.85Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Denzel Boston
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
45.85
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
45.85
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Blake Miller to be picked at number 29
“my favorite player that they have is who I have gone twenty nine to the Rams, and that's Blake Miller”
Blake Miller Los Angeles Rams
Went 17mocked at 29
59.46Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Blake Miller
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
59.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
17
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
59.46
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 5
“the fifth pick, Man Stewart Delane is my top corner in the draft going to the Giants”
Mansoor Delane New York Giants
Went 6mocked at 5
95.76Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Mansoor Delane
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 3
“I got two offensive linemen going back to back with Arizona and Tennessee. Spencer Fano from Utah and then Francis malioa”
Spencer Fano Arizona Cardinals
Went 9mocked at 3
77.11Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“You retiring George Kittle taking key into the deck... this was trying to Kenyon Sadik getting to play with Kyle Shanahan fantasy”
Kenyon Sadiq San Francisco 49ers
Went 16
100Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“one one overall not a shock here in this month draft... Fantom Mendoza goes one... Every time somebody puts Fernando at number one to the Raiders”
Fernando Mendoza Las Vegas Raiders
Went 1mocked at 1
100Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“Jeremiah Love do it all running back... He goes to the Saints at eight”
Jeremiyah Love New Orleans Saints
Went 3mocked at 8
80.52Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7
“sunny styles. What do you know another Ohio state going to Washington”
Sonny Styles Washington Commanders
Went 7mocked at 7
100Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 17
“he joins his fellow buck guy a key messidor the other defensive team at Miami... that feels like a gritty type of player that fits in with the Lions culture and with Aiden Hutchinson already there”
Akheem Mesidor Detroit Lions
Went 22mocked at 17
80.52Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Akheem Mesidor
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14
“give me the pronunciation on my Penn State... Then state guard, Penn State guard... venga Is is a tremendous player”
Olaivavega Ioane
Went 14mocked at 14
100Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Peter Woods to be picked at number 30
“Met his teammate Peter Wood's a DT going to Denver at thirty”
Peter Woods Denver Broncos
Went 29mocked at 30
95.76Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Peter Woods
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
29
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 32
“finishing up at thirty two the Seattle Seahawk... Brandon's to say... he's gonna best like a freak show out of South caro”
Brandon Cisse
Went 52mocked at 32
42.04Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Brandon Cisse
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
42.04
baseline:
50
actual pick:
52
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
42.04
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 19
“Jordan Tyson, receiver from Arizona State... pairing him up not only with with Tedoro McMillan, but what you saw from Jalen Cocher in that playoff game”
Jordyn Tyson Carolina Panthers
Went 8mocked at 19
62.09Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Colton Hood to be picked at number 12
“Colton Hood the second Tennessee Corner. He goes to the Cowboys”
Colton Hood Dallas Cowboys
Went 37mocked at 12
33.86Miss
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Colton Hood
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
33.86
baseline:
50
actual pick:
37
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
33.86
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20
“twenty I've got Kilderic Fault from Auburn”
Keldric Faulk
Went 31mocked at 20
62.09Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
“let makayle Lemon go play with Sean McVay and Oh Adams and see what they could do”
Makai Lemon Los Angeles Rams
Went 20mocked at 13
73.84Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked at number 6
“six Cleveland Browns... So I'm taking David Bailey Edgreusher”
David Bailey Cleveland Browns
Went 2mocked at 6
84.09Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
David Bailey
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9
“Ruben Bain Junior to the Chiefs at nine”
Rueben Bain Kansas City Chiefs
Went 15mocked at 9
77.11Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Lee Hunter to be picked at number 22
“How about this one Lee Hunter... I've got to get into this first round. You know, IM gonna give him the Chargers”
Lee Hunter Los Angeles Chargers
Went 49mocked at 22
31.05Miss
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Lee Hunter
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
31.05
baseline:
50
actual pick:
49
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
31.05
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 31
“Caleb Lomo the other tackle, the left tackle for Utah... have him going to the Patriots with Morgan Moses turned thirty five”
Caleb Lomu New England Patriots
Went 28mocked at 31
87.81Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Caleb Lomu
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 24
“Kingen Proctor with the Browns at twenty four”
Kadyn Proctor Cleveland Browns
Went 12mocked at 24
59.46Close
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
59.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
59.46
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 11
“how you think Caleb Downs is going to fit in here with the Miami Dolphins... he's someone I have going eleven here”
Caleb Downs Miami Dolphins
Went 11mocked at 11
100Hit
mock order 81.06 − 50 for a shuffle = 31.06 × 1 difficulty = +31.06 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
31.06
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
81.06
Think this is wrong?

Position Order Calls1 hitShow ▸

Mansoor Delane to be 1st corner off the board
“Stewart Delane is my top corner in the draft”
Mansoor Delane New York Giants
100Hit
100 − 12.64 naive = 87.36 × 1 difficulty = +87.36 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 27 at random averages 12.64
skill:
87.36
player:
Mansoor Delane
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
12.64
position:
corner
class size:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?