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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jun 11, 2025

Cowherd ranked the AFC quarterbacks entering the season, placing Josh Allen first and slotting Aaron Rodgers ninth alongside Trevor Lawrence and Tua; they separately said Jalen Hurts is roughly the tenth-best quarterback in the league.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 close calls · all settled
53.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
58.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I'd go Alan Mahomes, Burrow, Lamar, that's the big four.
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode
Hour 2 - Ranking the AFC QBs
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJun 11, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Top Player Lists“if I went today and you told me best quarterbacks in the AFC... I'd go Alan Mahomes, Burrow, Lamar, that's the big four... I'd go Herbert C. J. Stroud and I put Geno seven... And I would put the eighth best quarterback bo Nickx... And then number nine, I think you get Aaron Trevor Lawrence in Tua”
  2. 2Jalen Hurts to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards“And again I think Jalen Hurts is probably ten best in the league. But I do think he's he's a top ten franchise quarterback.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
“if I went today and you told me best quarterbacks in the AFC...…”1Top Player Lists—57.550+15
Jalen Hurts to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards2Positional FinishesFinished #165066.67−33.33
2 calls · 2 close calls · all settled53.858.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 positional finish and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 53.8 out of 100, against 58.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Jalen Hurts · 2025 season · positional finish

3 calls from 3 pundits between 5 positional finish and 16 positional finish. Colin Cowherd said 10 positional finish. the room's median is 5 positional finish. what happened: 16 positional finish

Colin Cowherd — 10 positional finishthe room — 3 calls from 3 punditsmedian 5 positional finishwhat happened — 16 positional finish

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Top Player Lists

    “if I went today and you told me best quarterbacks in the AFC... I'd go Alan Mahomes, Burrow, Lamar, that's the big four... I'd go Herbert C. J. Stroud and I put Geno seven... And I would put the eighth best quarterback bo Nickx... And then number nine, I think you get Aaron Trevor Lawrence in Tua”

    VerdictClose
    57.5Close · naive 50
    57.5this call50a naive guess7.5better than naive2difficulty+15skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    15
    placed:
    9
    season:
    2025
    players:
    9
    accuracy:
    57.5
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 9: 57.5
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Positional FinishesJalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles

    Jalen Hurts to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards

    What happenedFinished #16called #10 · by passing yards
    50Close · naive 66.67
    50this call66.67a naive guess−16.67worse than naive2difficulty−33.33skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    −33.33
    player:
    Jalen Hurts
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    66.67
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    passing yards
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    20
    actual finish:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    53.8naive 58.3

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

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