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Chris Brockman· Sep 3, 2025

Chris Brockman picked the Packers to win the NFC North with the Lions second, Vikings third and Bears fourth, and suggested both the Vikings and Bears could finish 8-9.

“I'm going Packers win in the North.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 season win totals, 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 40 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers to win the division

    “I just think it's their year... I'm going Packers win in the North.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsSep 3, 2025

    “I got Vikings three, Bears four... I'm going Packers win in the North.”

    Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 10+60 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    60
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    10
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins

    “Although I could see them both kinda going eight and nine. Eight and nine.”

    Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 55+50 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    MIN
    naive:
    11.25
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    9
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    55
    predicted:
    8
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins

    “Although I could see them both kinda going eight and nine. Eight and nine.”

    Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 15+50 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    naive:
    6.75
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    11
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    5
    accuracy:
    40
    baseline:
    15
    predicted:
    8
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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