Clay Travis#15 of 21 election pundits · Oct 26, 2022
They said they believe Blake Masters will ultimately win the Arizona Senate race against Mark Kelly.
Said on air or in an interview · The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton ShowHear the original
0Miss · out of 100
Mark Kelly wonWhat happenedcalled Blake Masters
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
What Clay Travis said
I believe as a race that Blake Masters is going to win before for all is said and done.
- Where it was said
- The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
- The episode
- Daily Review with Clay and Buck - Oct 26 2022
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 26, 2022
- Election DayNov 8, 2022
- GradedOct 9, 2026
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Blake Masters to win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona
What happenedMark Kelly woncalled Blake Masters0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.02difficulty=−102skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- right:
- no
- race:
- 2022-senate-az
- election year:
- 2022
- skill:
- −102
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Democratic
- result from:
- fec-2022
- who won:
- Mark Kelly
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Blake Masters
- days before the vote when called:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1.02
- the winner's party:
- Democratic
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2022-11-08
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Republican
The race in this take
every call on eachMore race winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.