Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2026

Prisco picks the Seahawks 23-17 over the Broncos and the Falcons to beat the Bears 27-21, expecting Michael Penix to play.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 2calls landed2 close calls · 1 waiting

44.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

62.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

He will likely play here, and that's a good thing since he can light up the Chicago defense.

Pete Prisco, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: Pick Six: Seahawks-Broncos predictions for Thursday night, plus NFL Week 6 picks and QB rankings
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 15
PlayedOct 15–18
GradedOct 16–18

1Atlanta Falcons 27 — Bears 21“Pete Prisco — Falcons (+3) 27-21 over Bears.”
2Seattle Seahawks 23 — Broncos 17“Prisco's pick: Seahawks 23-17 over Broncos”
3Availability Calls“quarterback Michael Penix was hurt. He will likely play here (Week 6 vs. Bears)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Atlanta Falcons 27 — Bears 21¹	Score Predictions	Bears 31–23	45.24	30.95	+24.57
Seattle Seahawks 23 — Broncos 17²	Score Predictions	Broncos 17–14	42.86	93.6	−87.28
“quarterback Michael Penix was hurt. He will likely play here…”³	Availability Calls	—	—	—	—
3 calls · 2 close calls · 1 waiting			44.1	62.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 score predictions and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 44.1 out of 100, against 62.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons 27 — Bears 21
What happenedBears 31–23called Falcons by 6 · lost by 8
45.24Close · naive 30.95
45.24this call30.95a naive guess14.29better than naive1.72difficulty+24.57skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 27–21 calls a Falcons win (by 6; the line gave the Falcons 48%) and fewer points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
How this was scored
score:
31-23
skill:
24.57
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
30.95
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 23 — Broncos 17
What happenedBroncos 17–14called Seahawks by 6 · lost by 3
42.86Close · naive 93.6
42.86this call93.6a naive guess−50.74worse than naive1.72difficulty−87.28skill
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 6) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
14-17
skill:
−87.28
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
93.6
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.31
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
3Availability Calls Michael Penix Jr.Atlanta Falcons
“quarterback Michael Penix was hurt. He will likely play here (Week 6 vs. Bears)”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
44.1naive 62.3

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

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Parker Hurley · Trade and Signing Calls · Jessie Bates · Miss 0
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More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.
John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.