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Jerry OstroskiApr 7, 2026

Ostrowski predicted edge rusher Malachi Lawrence would still be available in the third round, and said Iowa guard Bo Stevens will be the third player drafted off that Iowa offensive line.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 1 waiting
16.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Jerry Ostroski said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think that's a guy... would be available in third round if we don't get edge earlier.
Jerry Ostroski, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Bills (podcast)
The episode
BILLS SQUAD SHOW: WR or EDGE?! It's the SQUAD-MOCK! Our first mock draft!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 7
  2. GradedAug 18
  1. 1Malachi Lawrence to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)“there's actually an edge rusher that I really, really like that I think we could pick up in the third round... I think we get them in the third.”
  2. 2Bo Stevens to be the third drafted player off of that Iowa offensive line offensive line off the board“I like Bo Stevens. I'm a big fan of Iowa lineman... He's a guy that will be the third drafted player off of that Iowa offensive line.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Malachi Lawrence to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)1Mock Draft PicksWent 2316.2150—
Bo Stevens to be the third drafted player off of that Iowa offensive line offensive line off the board2Position Order Calls————
2 calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting16.250

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 16.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
third round (picks 65–100)They said
23What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksMalachi Lawrence

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    What happenedWent 23
    16.21Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Malachi Lawrence
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    16.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    23
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    16.21
    predicted pick:
    third round (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Position Order CallsBo Stevens

    Bo Stevens to be the third drafted player off of that Iowa offensive line offensive line off the board

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.