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Gregg Rosenthal· Apr 22, 2026

Rosenthal delivered a solo first-round mock draft (a "will happen" mock, no trades), naming a specific player at each of the first 32 picks. He also predicted he'd hit more than 4.5 picks correctly, and suggested George Pickens could be traded by Dallas next year.

“This is a will and yes...”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

34 checkable claims — 31 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 57 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

33 of 34 have settled so far, averaging 76.7 out of 100, against 48.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
32They said
27What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

34 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32

    “The Seahawks are next on the board. Chris Johnson is my final pick... The cornerback from San Diego State going to the Seahawks.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.72 against a shuffle’s 50+42.72 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.72
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.72

    Think this is wrong?

  • Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15

    “I went with a key massador the edge out of Miami... as the fifteenth door opick”

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.72 against a shuffle’s 50+42.72 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.72
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.72

    Think this is wrong?

  • Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4

    “in the end I went with Sonny Styles linebacker Ohio State... Sunny Styles to the Titan.”

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.72 against a shuffle’s 50+42.72 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.72
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.72

    Think this is wrong?

  • Blake Miller to be picked at number 17

    “At seventeen, the Lions are up... But I have them taking Blake Miller, the tackle out of Clemson.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.72 against a shuffle’s 50+42.72 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.72
    player:
    Blake Miller
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    17
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.72

    Think this is wrong?

  • David Bailey to be picked at number 3

    “But I did put him on the Cardinals... at the number three overall pick.”

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.72 against a shuffle’s 50+42.72 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    42.72
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    92.72

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cashius Howell to be picked at number 26

    “I have another pass rusher going next, Cassius howel... that's not a bad pick at twenty six”

    Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Cashius Howell
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    41
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16

    “I actually think they're more likely to take McKay lemon... at sixteen”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    “And that leaves ruben Bain for the Saints”

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 22

    “because I have the Chargers taking Proctor next”

    Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cade McDonald to be picked at number 28

    “This is a meat and potato pick for the Texans... I just kind of have them checking a box here with Caden McDonald.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Cade McDonald
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    28
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 13

    “My least favorite pick of the mock draft is Monroe Freeling the Georgia tackle to the Rams.”

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be picked at number 21

    “I have the Steelers taking Spencer Fano tackle guard from Utah.”

    Close · 59Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    59.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    59.46
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • C.J. Allen to be picked at number 18

    “I want the Vikings fans to come after me for giving them c J. Allen at linebacker, the Georgia product going at eighteen.”

    Miss · 22Scored 21.95 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    C.J. Allen
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    21.95
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    53
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    21.95
    predicted pick:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 19

    “This is where I finally have concepcion going Carolina”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7

    “the Commanders are taking Jeremiah Love running back Notre Dame”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5

    “At five, the first of two Giants picks, I went with Caleb Downs, Ohio State.”

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 23

    “The tackle run continues with the Eagles. They go to Arizona State. Yes, they take Max Ihanachor”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Max Iheanachor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 12

    “I have the Cowboys taking Tyson just feels like a Cowboys type of move.”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denzel Boston to be picked at number 29

    “I have the Chiefs taking Denzel Boston, Boston wide receiver out of Washington next... going to the Chiefs at twenty nine”

    Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Keylan Rutledge to be picked at number 30

    “Kaitlin Rutledge is a name you're hearing a lot more as a potential first round pick at guard Georgia Tech... or at least the guy for the Dolphins”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Keylan Rutledge
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    26
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    “I chose rvel Reese going number two overall”

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 25

    “This is where I slotted Malachi Lawrence the Edge from E c F... I like him to the Bears here at twenty five”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Malachi Lawrence
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    23
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board

    “I think Fernanda Mendoza, obviously it's the best quarterback in this draft.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
    skill:
    66.92
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    33.08
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “Number one overall... is Fernando Mendoza going to the Raiders at number one overall, the Indiana kid.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 27

    “I have the forty nine ers taking Keldric Falk next”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Keldric Faulk
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 9

    “So the Chiefs are there at nine... I have them taking Francis Maliinoa from Miami tackle”

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 20

    “We take the safety from Oregon by way of Purdue off the board... to get him at twenty”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    “which is Carnel Tait to the Cleveland Browns”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 31

    “Maybe I'm just wish casting because I have Jermond McCoy going next to the Patriots.”

    Miss · 5Scored 4.82 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Jermod McCoy
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    4.82
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    101
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    4.82
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14

    “Instead, I give them Kenyan Sadik, the tight end out of Oregon.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mansoor Delane to be 1st cornerback off the board

    “first cornerback off the board for Miami”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 12.64+87.36 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 27 at random averages 12.64
    skill:
    87.36
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    12.64
    position:
    cornerback
    class size:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

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  • Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 24

    “so I have him ending the tackle run with Caleb Lomu, the tackle from Utah”

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Caleb Lomu
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    28
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

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  • Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11

    “I go Mansor Delane, the cornerback out of LSU, first cornerback off the board for Miami.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.65 against a shuffle’s 50+41.65 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.65
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.65

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  • George Pickens to move to Dallas Cowboys

    “so maybe in this scenario, George Pickens is a very tradable asset next year and that's fine”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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