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Michael IrvinJan 2, 2026

Irvin picked the Rams to come out of the NFC (if healthy) and the Patriots with Drake Maye to win the AFC, making it a Patriots-Rams Super Bowl LX.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · all settled
75Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Michael Irvin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But if I had to pick right now AFC, I would take New England with the young Drake May
Michael Irvin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Rich’s Top 5, NFL Wild Card Matchup Predictions, plus Michael Irvin
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 2
  2. GradedAug 17
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl“I would say take the Rams if everybody's healthy... I would say take the Rams because I'm an offensive guy.”
  2. 2New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl“But if I had to pick right now AFC, I would take New England with the young Drake May, even with Buffalo right now”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl1Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won500+53
New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl2Conference ChampionsNE and SEA won1000+106
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled750

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 conference champions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked LAR
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1.06difficulty+53skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    53
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    1.06
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl

    What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked NE
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.06difficulty+106skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    106
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    1.06
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1
    reached the Super Bowl:
    yes
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    75naive 0

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.