Matt CasselSep 6, 2022
Cassel picked Justin Herbert MVP, Cooper Kupp OPOY, Micah Parsons DPOY, Chris Olave OROY, Aidan Hutchinson DROY, Derrick Henry Comeback Player and Josh McDaniels Coach of the Year.
Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original
What Matt Cassel said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromMatt Cassel, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
- Where it was published
- The 33rd Team
- The piece
- 2022 NFL Awards Predictions: MVP, Rookies of the Year, and More - The 33rd Team
- The original
- The copy as archived Sep 7, 2022
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.
- SaidSep 5, 2022
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1Justin Herbert to win Most Valuable Player“T2. Chargers QB Justin Herbert (3 votes: Matt Cassel, Mike Martz, Mike Tannenbaum)”
- 2Josh McDaniels to win Coach of the Year“T1. Raiders coach Josh McDaniels (3 votes: Cassel, Martz, Pagano)”
- 3Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“1. Lions edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson (10 votes: Cassel, ...)”
- 4Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year“T2. Cowboys LB Micah Parsons (3 votes: Cassel, Mornhinweg, Pagano)”
- 5Cooper Kupp to win Offensive Player of the Year“Rams WR Cooper Kupp (1 vote: Cassel)”
- 6Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“1. Saints WR Chris Olave (6 votes: Cassel, ...)”
- 7Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, Cassel, ...)”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert to win Most Valuable Player1 | Award Picks | Patrick Mahomes won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Josh McDaniels to win Coach of the Year2 | Coach Award Picks | Brian Daboll won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year3 | Award Picks | Sauce Gardner won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year4 | Award Picks | Nick Bosa won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cooper Kupp to win Offensive Player of the Year5 | Award Picks | Justin Jefferson won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year6 | Award Picks | Garrett Wilson won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year7 | Award Picks | Geno Smith won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 calls · 7 misses · all settled | 0 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Award PicksJustin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert to win Most Valuable Player
What happenedPatrick Mahomes woncalled Justin Herbert0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Justin Herbert
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Patrick Mahomes
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Coach Award PicksLas Vegas Raiders
Josh McDaniels to win Coach of the Year
What happenedBrian Daboll woncalled Josh McDaniels0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Josh McDaniels
- naive:
- the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Brian Daboll
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Award PicksAidan HutchinsonDetroit Lions
Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedSauce Gardner woncalled Aidan Hutchinson0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Aidan Hutchinson
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Sauce Gardner
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
4Award PicksMicah ParsonsDallas Cowboys
Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year
What happenedNick Bosa woncalled Micah Parsons0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Micah Parsons
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Nick Bosa
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
5Award PicksCooper KuppLos Angeles Rams
Cooper Kupp to win Offensive Player of the Year
What happenedJustin Jefferson woncalled Cooper Kupp0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Cooper Kupp
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Justin Jefferson
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
6Award PicksChris OlaveNew Orleans Saints
Chris Olave to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedGarrett Wilson woncalled Chris Olave0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Chris Olave
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Garrett Wilson
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
7Award PicksDerrick HenryTennessee Titans
Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the Year
What happenedGeno Smith woncalled Derrick Henry0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2022
- who won:
- Geno Smith
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
0naive 0
Who this take is about
Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers, Las Vegas Raiders, Aidan Hutchinson, Detroit Lions, Micah Parsons, Dallas Cowboys, Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams, Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints, Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.Christian Booher · Roster Spot Calls · Anthony Lucas · Miss 0
Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Willie Colon · Award Picks · Sam Darnold · Miss 0
Colon picked the Seahawks to win 24-14 with Sam Darnold as Super Bowl MVP.Danny Parkins · Award Picks · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Miss 0
Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.