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Scott KennedySep 20, 2026

Expects the Falcons to fall to 0-2 in Cooper Rush starts, losing 24-13 to Carolina.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

52Close · out of 100
Panthers 34–3What happenedcalled Panthers by 11 · won by 31
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
52.38This callout of 100
+101.62Skillafter difficulty

What Scott Kennedy said

the Falcons are likely going to be 0-Cooper Rush starts, with this week making it 0-2.
Our reading: Carolina Panthers 24 — Falcons 13
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Perfect Record On the Line with Panthers vs. Falcons Predictions by FalconsSI Staff
The original
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  1. SaidSep 20
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 52.4 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsCarolina Panthers

    Carolina Panthers 24 — Falcons 13

    What happenedPanthers 34–3called Panthers by 11 · won by 31
    52.38Close · naive 0
    52.38this call0a naive guess52.38better than naive1.94difficulty+101.62skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Panthers by 2.5, total 43.5 · this 24–13 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 11) and fewer points (37).

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-3
    skill:
    101.62
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    52.38
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

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