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Mike Renner#28 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 14, 2026

In their three-round mock draft, Renner has the Bills taking UCF edge rusher Malachi Lawrence at No. 26 and Kentucky interior offensive lineman Jalen Farmer at No. 91.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
63.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#28Mike Renner’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Renner said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Lawrence brings the juice. The bill's edge group is lacking.
Mike Renner, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Bills (podcast)
The episode
Bills’ MOCK DRAFT Roundup: What ACTUALLY Makes the Most Sense for Buffalo in 2026 NFL Draft?
The original
Hear the original
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  1. SaidApr 14
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Jalen Farmer to be picked at number 91“And then at 91, Mike Renner has the Bills drafting Jalen Farmer, an interior offensive lineman from Kentucky.”
  2. 2Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 26“At pick 26, Mike Renner has the Bills selecting Malachi Lawrence, the edge rusher from UCF.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jalen Farmer to be picked at number 911Mock Draft PicksWent 11338.5650+50
Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 262Mock Draft PicksWent 2387.8150+50
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled63.250

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 63.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
91They said
113What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksJalen FarmerBuffalo Bills

    Jalen Farmer to be picked at number 91

    What happenedWent 113mocked at 91
    38.56Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Jalen Farmer
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    38.56
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    113
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    38.56
    predicted pick:
    91
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksMalachi LawrenceBuffalo Bills

    Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 26

    What happenedWent 23mocked at 26
    87.81Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Malachi Lawrence
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    23
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    63.2naive 50

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