Gregg Rosenthal· Feb 3, 2025
Rosenthal laid out his end-of-season award ballot — Lamar Jackson for MVP, Zack Baun for Defensive Player of the Year, Saquon Barkley for Offensive Player of the Year, Jayden Daniels for Offensive Rookie of the Year, JK Dobbins for Comeback Player, Dan Campbell for Coach of the Year and Jeff Stoutland for Assistant Coach of the Year — while also predicting that Myles Garrett could take DPOY, Joe Burrow will likely win Comeback Player, and Vic Fangio may win Assistant Coach of the Year.
“I'm going Zach Bond Defensive Player of the Year, Patrick number two, and Trey Hendrickson three.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
9 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 3 coach award picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Coach Award PicksFeb 3, 2025
Dan Campbell to win Coach of the Year
“I still stuck with my original one two, which was Dan Campbell Andy Reid”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Dan Campbell
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin Stefanski, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Kevin O'Connell
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksSaquon BarkleyPhiladelphia EaglesFeb 3, 2025
Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Offensive Player of the Year... I went Saquon Chase in Burrow.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Christian McCaffrey, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Saquon Barkley
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksLamar JacksonBaltimore RavensFeb 3, 2025
Lamar Jackson to win MVP
“I wrote down Lamar Allen Saquon... So I will go Lamar Allen Saquon one, two, three.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Lamar Jackson
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Josh Allen
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“offensive Rookie of the Year, this is the name I was teasing before Jayden Daniels number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was C.J. Stroud, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jayden Daniels
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Jayden Daniels
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksJ.K. DobbinsLos Angeles ChargersFeb 3, 2025
J.K. Dobbins to win Comeback Player of the Year
“I'm gonna give it to JK. Dobbins and I'll go Donald second and Tomar Hamlin third.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Flacco, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- J.K. Dobbins
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Joe Burrow
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksJoe BurrowCincinnati BengalsFeb 3, 2025
Joe Burrow to win Comeback Player of the Year
“Comeback Player of the Year. Burrow's probably gonna win it”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Flacco, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Joe Burrow
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Joe Burrow
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksMyles GarrettCleveland BrownsFeb 3, 2025
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
“He is still playing as a Defensive Player of the Year level. I think he might win the award this week.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Myles Garrett, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Myles Garrett
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Pat Surtain II
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Coach Award PicksFeb 3, 2025
Jeff Stotlin to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“So I'm giving my Assistant Coach of the Year to Jeff Stotlin.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Coach Award PicksFeb 3, 2025
Vic Fangio to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“Yeah, I think he might win the award, and that will be really funny to see the taped video that he sends into NFL Honors”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jourdan RodrigueAward Picks · Penei SewellMiss · 0Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year.
- Brandon SneideAward Picks · Drake MayeMiss · 0Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford.
- Nick WrightAward Picks · Rashid ShaheedMiss · 0Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP.
- Chris BroussardAward Picks · Cooper KuppMiss · 0Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP.
- Eric ManginiAward Picks · Drake MayeMiss · 0Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP.
- Danny ParkinsAward Picks · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMiss · 0Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.