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Tom Pelissero#5 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 21, 2025

Pelissero read the practice trend as a sign the Bengals may hold Joe Burrow out this week and target a Thanksgiving return against the Ravens; they also said the Ravens are the favorites to win the AFC North, and that Zac Taylor will most likely still be Bengals coach in 2026.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Division WinnersThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#5Tom Pelissero’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tom Pelissero said

I would certainly say that if you had to lean, you would lean towards Zack Taylor one way or another, still be the Bengals coach in 2026.
Our reading: Baltimore Ravens to win the division
The episode
Hour 2: Week 12’s Top 5 Games, Texans’ “Championship Defense,” plus NFL Insider Tom Pelissero
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidNov 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Division WinnersBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.39difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1.39
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.