Greg JenningsSep 6, 2022

Jennings picked Josh Allen for MVP, Justin Jefferson for Offensive Player of the Year, Nick Bosa for Defensive Player of the Year, George Pickens for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Aidan Hutchinson for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Christian McCaffrey for Comeback Player and Doug Pederson for Coach of the Year.

Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original

2 of 7calls landed2 hits · 5 misses · all settled

28.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls

0A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

7 of 7Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Greg Jennings said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

(Allen is) going to throw the ball around the field, he's mobile, and he's going to get the ball to his receivers on short and long routes.

Greg Jennings, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: The 33rd Team
The piece: 2022 NFL Awards Predictions: MVP, Rookies of the Year, and More - The 33rd Team
The original: The copy as archived Sep 7, 2022
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.

SaidSep 5, 2022
GradedAug 5, 2026

1Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year“1. Lions edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson (10 votes: ... Jennings ...)”
2Doug Pederson to win Coach of the Year“Jaguars coach Doug Pederson (1 vote: Jennings)”
3Justin Jefferson to win Offensive Player of the Year“Vikings WR Justin Jefferson (1 vote: Jennings)”
4Christian McCaffrey to win Comeback Player of the Year“3. Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (2 votes: Jennings, Mornhinweg)”
5George Pickens to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“T2. Steelers WR George Pickens (3 votes: Barber, Davis, Jennings)”
6Nick Bosa to win Defensive Player of the Year“T2. 49ers edge rusher Nick Bosa (3 votes: Davis, Jennings, Wannstedt)”
7Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player“1. Bills QB Josh Allen (7 votes: Greg Jennings, ...)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Skill
Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year¹	Award Picks	Sauce Gardner won	0	0
Doug Pederson to win Coach of the Year²	Coach Award Picks	Brian Daboll won	0	0
Justin Jefferson to win Offensive Player of the Year³	Award Picks	Justin Jefferson won	100	+200
Christian McCaffrey to win Comeback Player of the Year⁴	Award Picks	Geno Smith won	0	0
George Pickens to win Offensive Rookie of the Year⁵	Award Picks	Garrett Wilson won	0	0
Nick Bosa to win Defensive Player of the Year⁶	Award Picks	Nick Bosa won	100	+200
Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player⁷	Award Picks	Patrick Mahomes won	0	0
7 calls · 2 hits · 5 misses · all settled			28.6

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

7 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 28.6 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Award Picks Aidan Hutchinson Detroit Lions
Aidan Hutchinson to win Defensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedSauce Gardner woncalled Aidan Hutchinson
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Micah Parsons, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Aidan Hutchinson
season:
2022
who won:
Sauce Gardner
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
2Coach Award Picks Jacksonville Jaguars
Doug Pederson to win Coach of the Year
What happenedBrian Daboll woncalled Doug Pederson
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Doug Pederson
naive:
the naive pick was Mike Vrabel, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2022
who won:
Brian Daboll
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
3Award Picks Justin Jefferson Minnesota Vikings
Justin Jefferson to win Offensive Player of the Year
What happenedJustin Jefferson won
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Cooper Kupp, who won it the year before
skill:
200
player:
Justin Jefferson
season:
2022
who won:
Justin Jefferson
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
4Award Picks Christian McCaffrey Carolina Panthers
Christian McCaffrey to win Comeback Player of the Year
What happenedGeno Smith woncalled Christian McCaffrey
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Christian McCaffrey
season:
2022
who won:
Geno Smith
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
5Award Picks George Pickens Pittsburgh Steelers
George Pickens to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
What happenedGarrett Wilson woncalled George Pickens
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Ja'Marr Chase, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
George Pickens
season:
2022
who won:
Garrett Wilson
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
6Award Picks Nick Bosa San Francisco 49ers
Nick Bosa to win Defensive Player of the Year
What happenedNick Bosa won
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was T.J. Watt, who won it the year before
skill:
200
player:
Nick Bosa
season:
2022
who won:
Nick Bosa
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
7Award Picks Josh Allen Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen to win Most Valuable Player
What happenedPatrick Mahomes woncalled Josh Allen
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Aaron Rodgers, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2022
who won:
Patrick Mahomes
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
28.6naive 0