CBS NewsNov 1, 2026
The network's own race ratings, cited on air, had the Florida Senate race as likely Republican and the Minnesota Senate race as likely Democratic.
Published in writing · Face the Nation transcripts (CBS News)Read the original
What CBS News said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromWhy Florida, since it is likely GOP according to CBS numbers, and CBS also rates Minnesota as likely Dem.
- Where it was published
- Face the Nation transcripts (CBS News)
- The piece
- Full transcript of "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Nov. 1, 2026
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 1
- Election DayNov 3
- GradedNov 10
- 1GOP to win the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida“Why Florida, since it is likely GOP according to CBS numbers”
- 2Dem to win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota“CBS also rates Minnesota as likely Dem”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOP to win the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida1 | Race Winners | Ashley Moody won | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Dem to win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota2 | Race Winners | Peggy Flanagan won | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| 2 calls · 2 hits · all settled | 100 | 100 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 2 race winners — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
GOP to win the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida
What happenedAshley Moody woncalled, not yet certified100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- right:
- yes
- race:
- 2026-senate-fl-special
- election year:
- 2026
- skill:
- 0
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Republican
- in their words:
- likely GOP
- result from:
- wikipedia-2026
- who won:
- Ashley Moody
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Ashley Moody
- days before the vote when called:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- the winner's party:
- Republican
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2026-11-03
- the result is:
- called
- the party they named:
- Republican
Dem to win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota
What happenedPeggy Flanagan woncalled, not yet certified100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- right:
- yes
- race:
- 2026-senate-mn
- election year:
- 2026
- skill:
- 0
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Democratic
- in their words:
- likely Dem
- result from:
- wikipedia-2026
- who won:
- Peggy Flanagan
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Peggy Flanagan
- days before the vote when called:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- the winner's party:
- Democratic
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2026-11-03
- the result is:
- called
- the party they named:
- Democratic
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 100
The races in this take
every call on eachMore race winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.