Tyler Sullivan· Sep 23, 2026

Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. He also expects Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington.

“Allen is on an MVP trajectory over his first two games, totaling nine touchdowns. He's a freight train, and it feels like the Chargers will be his next victim.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

20 checkable claims — 16 score predictions, 3 availability calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

16 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 61.3 out of 100, against 65.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

Marcus Mariota · 2026 season

Tyler Sullivan — 1the room — 9 calls from 8 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

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The games in this take

20 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Score Predictions Philadelphia EaglesSep 23, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles 26 — Bears 20
“Eagles at Bears (Monday) Projected score : Eagles 26, Bears 20”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 54.46-71.44 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-27
skill:
-71.44
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
16.67
baseline:
54.46
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
20
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Kansas City ChiefsSep 23, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 33 — Dolphins 16
“Projected score : Chiefs 33, Dolphins 16”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 17.78+141.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-10
skill:
141.89
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
17.78
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
17
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Buffalo BillsSep 23, 2026
Buffalo Bills 31 — Chargers 20
“Projected score : Bills 31, Chargers 20”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 82.07+20.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
16-24
skill:
20.39
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
82.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
11
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Los Angeles RamsSep 23, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 23 — Broncos 20
“Rams at Broncos Projected score : Rams 23, Broncos 20”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 91.59-83.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-30
skill:
-83.11
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
91.59
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Indianapolis ColtsSep 23, 2026
Indianapolis Colts 26 — Texans 23
“Texans at Colts Projected score : Colts 26, Texans 23”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 96.35+2.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
2.39
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Cincinnati BengalsSep 23, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Steelers 20
“Bengals at Steelers Projected score : Bengals 27, Steelers 20”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 93.97-101.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-30
skill:
-101.11
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Detroit LionsSep 23, 2026
Detroit Lions 33 — Jets 21
“Projected score : Lions 33, Jets 21”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 84.45+6.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-31
skill:
6.89
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
84.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
12
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Tennessee TitansSep 23, 2026
Tennessee Titans 23 — Giants 20
“Titans at Giants Projected score : Titans 23, Giants 20”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 89.21-83.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-12
skill:
-83.11
they picked:
TEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
89.21
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Baltimore RavensSep 23, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 31 — Cowboys 29
“Ravens at Cowboys (in Brazil) Projected score : Ravens 31, Cowboys 29”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 43.97+101.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
101.39
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
43.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
2
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Jacksonville JaguarsSep 23, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 21
“Patriots at Jaguars Projected score : Jaguars 23, Patriots 21”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-35
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
29
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
2
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New Orleans SaintsSep 23, 2026
New Orleans Saints 24 — Raiders 20
“Projected score : Saints 24, Raiders 20”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 32.07+15.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-27
skill:
15.89
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
32.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Seattle SeahawksSep 23, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Commanders 17
“Projected score : Seahawks 27, Commanders 17”
Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 96.35-123.61 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-33
skill:
-123.61
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
30.95
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Carolina PanthersSep 23, 2026
Carolina Panthers 24 — Browns 21
“Panthers at Browns Projected score : Panthers 24, Browns 21”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 93.97-83.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-21
skill:
-83.11
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions San Francisco 49ersSep 23, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 33 — Cardinals 23
“Cardinals at 49ers Projected score : 49ers 33, Cardinals 23”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 86.83+6.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-36
skill:
6.89
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
86.83
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Minnesota VikingsSep 23, 2026
Minnesota Vikings 23 — Buccaneers 21
“Vikings at Buccaneers Projected score : Vikings 23, Buccaneers 21”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 34.45+101.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-16
skill:
101.39
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
34.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
2
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Green Bay PackersSep 23, 2026
Green Bay Packers 26 — Falcons 21
“Falcons at Packers (Thursday) Projected score : Packers 26, Falcons 21”
Miss · 12Scored 11.9a naive guess scored 0+22.5 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-14
skill:
22.5
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
11.9
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
-0.45
predicted margin:
5
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Marcus Mariota Washington CommandersSep 23, 2026
Marcus Mariota to be 1st on the depth chart
“With Daniels sidelined, Marcus Mariota (who has lost six of his last seven starts) gets the nod”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Availability Calls Caleb Williams Chicago BearsSep 23, 2026
“Some may be back sooner than later, but all of them will likely be sidelined for Week 3”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Availability Calls Jaxson Dart New York GiantsSep 23, 2026
“Jaxson Dart (knee) could miss the entire season ... all of them will likely be sidelined for Week 3”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Availability Calls Jayden Daniels Washington CommandersSep 23, 2026
“Jayden Daniels (elbow) will miss time ... all of them will likely be sidelined for Week 3”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0
Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 98
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Nate TiceScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysHit · 100
Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
Marcus RayScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19
Marcus predicted a 30-13 Buccaneers win over Cleveland with three touchdowns and three field goals, and picked the Raiders to beat a Jim Harbaugh team to start 2-0.
Ryan LaVoyScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 17
LaVoy predicted a 28-10 Buccaneers win over the Browns, said even the Falcons would beat Cleveland, and named Detroit, Baltimore and the Rams as teams he expects in the playoffs.
Jaron SporScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19
The host predicted a comfortable Buccaneers win over Cleveland, 27-10, picked Jacksonville as an upset winner at Denver, said the Giants could win seven or eight games as a sneaky team, and expected Deshaun Watson and the Browns to part ways soon.
Pat FitzmauriceScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 36
Fitzmaurice gave rest-of-season positional rankings for several Chiefs and other skill players, including Mahomes as his QB10, Kenneth Walker as RB4 behind Gibbs, Bijan and McCaffrey, Kelce at TE8 and Worthy down at WR50, and he picked Tampa Bay to beat Minnesota 21-20.

Where this call stands in the room

Who this take is about

The games in this take

20 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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