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Chris WelshAug 9, 2025

Welsh pushes back on the Hubbard fade, arguing that at their low-RB2 draft cost Hubbard is a value who should at least deliver a solid floor.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Sleeper CallsThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
−200Skillafter difficulty

What Chris Welsh said

I think, based on what we know what his upside is, which we saw last year it being a top twelve running back to where he's being drafted, I kind of see him as a value.
Our reading: Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (low RB two)
The episode
FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast - Derek Brown’s Biggest Busts To Avoid in 2025 (Ep. 1644)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 9, 2025
  2. GradedAug 19, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Sleeper CallsChuba HubbardCarolina Panthers

    Chuba Hubbard to outplay his draft cost (low RB two)

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    call:
    sleeper
    cost:
    low RB two
    naive:
    he repeats last season
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    Chuba Hubbard
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    had to beat:
    RB13
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual finish:
    RB42
    weeks left when called:
    18
    measured against:
    the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
    Think this is wrong?

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