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Anthony GarganoFeb 28, 2026

Gargano expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick to the Raiders, sees Kenyon Sadiq as a top-15 tight end pick (their own guess around 14-15, and no later than Carolina at 19), and rolls through a mock draft placing several prospects. They also think Ty Simpson is the second QB off the board and only one QB goes in the first round.

Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 1 waiting
98.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
46.6A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Anthony Gargano said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So you got Mendoza's slated to go one.
Anthony Gargano, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
The Fellas With Anthony Gargano & Daniel DiBerardinis talk NFL Combine, College Basketball, & MORE!
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 28
  2. GradedAug 13
  1. 1Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“So, Raiders, obviously mendoza. That's done”
  2. 2Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top fifteen” (picks 1–15)“My guess is he again? I think top fifteen for sure... because I have him around fourteen to fifteen”
  3. 3Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board“but is Ty Simpson the second quarterback off the board?”
  4. 4Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “there's no way he gets past nineteen”“So carolina would be the back End For SADIQ”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 11Mock Draft PicksWent 110050—
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top fifteen” (picks 1–15)2Mock Draft PicksWent 1695.7650—
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board3Position Order Calls—10039.7+60.3
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “there's no way he gets past nineteen”4Mock Draft Picks————
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting98.646.6

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 98.6 out of 100, against 46.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 1mocked at 1
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksKenyon Sadiq

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top fifteen” (picks 1–15)

    What happenedWent 16
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    top fifteen (picks 1–15)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Position Order CallsTy Simpson

    Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 39.7
    100this call39.7a naive guess60.3better than naive1difficulty+60.3skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
    skill:
    60.3
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    39.7
    position:
    quarterback
    class size:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqCarolina Panthers

    Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “there's no way he gets past nineteen”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    98.6naive 46.6

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