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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 20, 2025

Brockman predicts the Patriots will make the playoffs in the coming season.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Made the playoffsWhat happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

We're making the playoffs.
Our reading: New England Patriots to make the playoffs
The episode
Todd McShay: We Should Find Out Soon If The Titans Keep Or Trade The Number 1 Pick
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 20, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Playoff PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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