Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 17, 2025
Brockman pitched that the Bengals will miss the playoffs again without Trey Hendrickson, that the 49ers' Super Bowl window is shut, that Denver wins the AFC West, that Atlanta keeps Kirk Cousins into the season, and that the Fields-to-Garrett Wilson connection produces at least 12 touchdowns.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe Broncos are gonna win the AFC West.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Free Agency Recap: Falcons Keeping Kirk Cousins Is The Smart Move
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 17, 2025
- GradedAug 13–17, 2026
- 1Denver Broncos to win the division“The Broncos are gonna win the AFC West.”
- 2Garrett Wilson to record 12 receiving tds“Justin Fields, Garrett Wilson will be a top five TD combo in 2025... 12 touchdowns. At least 12. Give me 12.”
- 3Kirk Cousins: a roster call with no direction stated“Do you feel like he's on the Falcons week one? I kinda do.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos to win the division1 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Garrett Wilson to record 12 receiving tds2 | Player Season Numbers | 4 | 0 | 53.87 | −107.74 | |
| Kirk Cousins: a roster call with no direction stated3 | Roster Spot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 50 | 26.9 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 player season number and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 26.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Division WinnersDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- yes
2Player Season NumbersGarrett WilsonNew York Jets
Garrett Wilson to record 12 receiving tds
What happened4called 120Miss · naive 53.870this call−53.87a naive guess=−53.87worse than naive×2difficulty=−107.74skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- naive:
- 5.2
- skill:
- −107.74
- what happened:
- 4
- player:
- Garrett Wilson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 53.87
- they said:
- 12
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 7
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
3Roster Spot CallsKirk CousinsAtlanta Falcons
Kirk Cousins: a roster call with no direction stated
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 26.9
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Tom Pelissero · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Pelissero laid out the Giants' quarterback situation with Jameis Winston starting, said Jayden Daniels likely won't be back when Washington plays the Giants and that Caleb Williams is unlikely to play Monday night, and floated Joey Porter Jr. landing in Dallas and Kirk Cousins being traded in-season.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · New York Giants · Miss 0
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Cowherd unveiled their top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks.Rich Eisen · Division Winners · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.Rich Eisen · Division Winners · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Eisen called the 49ers-as-NFC-favorites take an overreaction, picked the Jaguars to beat the Titans and win their division, leaned Ravens over the Steelers in the Week 18 Sunday night game, expects the Bills to beat the Jets even without Josh Allen, sees the Chargers as the AFC's seventh seed, agreed Tyler Shough could win Offensive Rookie of the Year with a good Saints 2026, said Malik Willis will be a starter somewhere next season, and insisted Detroit goes into 2026 with Goff.