John Breech· Sep 17, 2026
Breech picks the Bills to beat the Lions 38-31 on Thursday night, floats the game as a Super Bowl preview, and takes the Cardinals to upset the Seahawks 20-17 in Week 2.
“I believe in Arizona and I think the Cards are going to pull off the upset here.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions and 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 46.4 out of 100, against 39.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Lions at Bills 21 calls
- Seahawks at Cardinals 13 calls
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsArizona CardinalsSep 17, 2026
Arizona Cardinals 20 — Seahawks 17
“John Breech -- Cardinals (+4.5) 20-17 over Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 31-7
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- -0.52
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsSep 17, 2026
Buffalo Bills 38 — Lions 31
“John Breech's pick: Bills 38-31 over Lions”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 79.41+26.08 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 31-41
- skill:
- 26.08
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 79.41
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- 1.35
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Conference ChampionsDetroit LionsSep 17, 2026
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“the Bills (1-0) will be hosting the Lions (1-0) in a possible SUPER BOWL PREVIEW. Is it too early to say that? Probably, but I'm going to say it anyway.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsBuffalo BillsSep 17, 2026
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
“the Bills (1-0) will be hosting the Lions (1-0) in a possible SUPER BOWL PREVIEW. Is it too early to say that? Probably, but I'm going to say it anyway.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Ralph VentreRoster Spot Calls · Christian BenfordMiss · 0Ventre expects Christian Benford's toe injury to sideline him for at least the Week 4 game against New England, and believes the Bills will have to add a cornerback to the 53-man roster this week — likely by moving Benford to injured reserve — with practice squad rookie Kani Walker the most likely player elevated.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris BrockmanConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
- Damonza ByrdConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · New England PatriotsHit · 100The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · Denver BroncosClose · 50Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.
- AJ HawkConference Champions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 50Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.
- Derek MurphyConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.