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97.45% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Around the NFL (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 4 of 8 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 9 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 64.5 accuracy (4 settled)
226–250 of 1,043
661 / 1,043
graded
382 still pending
Outside the room in 4 of 7 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 6 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 86.1 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 3 of 15 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · when its writers strayed: 54.5 accuracy (3 settled)
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 9.8 wins
And then the Ravens, who have the same win total projected.
Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl
You have the Texans as the AFC favorites. Your numbers say they have about twice the amount of odds to win the Super Bowl as any other AFC team.
It's a pretty clear top three teams in the NFL for you too, in terms of DVOA, it's the Seahawks, Rams, and the Texans.
So to go from eighth to like fourteenth... You have them as a bottom three offense
to have him go from fifth to fourteenth, which is where they're projected... seventeenth and eighteenth overall in DVOWAY... the projections actually had the Dolphins at twenty sixth in DVOA... I was a little stunned that you had them thirty first in DVOA
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 9.8 wins
Your projection model has the Bengals as the third best chance to make the playoffs a strong bounce back season nine point eight wins
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
You have them as a better than fifty percent chance to make the playoffs... in your models, the Colts are making the playoffs more often than not.
you have them as the second ranked offense and the worst defense in the league... You had the Packers as the fourth best offense and the twenty sixth best defense
you have them as the second ranked offense and the worst defense in the league. ... You had the Packers as the fourth best offense and the twenty sixth best defense
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
So I think that the Ravens and Cincinnati are both really good playoff playoff opportunities.
And Cleveland is the worst team in the league.
Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations
The Cardinals were twenty third twenty third in overall Dvoa less rays the banner despite being the most injured team in the league. And they're going to be healthier this year
It's offense. I mean, we have them projected with the top five offense.
Jake Slaughter to be 1st on the depth chart
Jake Slaughter, the left guard ... not only because he's slotting into start immediately at left guard
Jordan Love to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
I think that Jordan Love is a top ten quarterback. I think he should be in the top ten on any list because I think he is in the top third.
Max Iheanachor to be 1st on the depth chart
Max Ianacher who's probably gonna start at left tackle for the Steelers
Terry McLaurin to be 1st on the depth chart
McLaurin as you're one, you have no clue who your number two is.
C.J. Allen to be 1st on the depth chart
CJ. Allen for the Colts, who I think can step in and make a big difference to the linebacker who's gonna immediately step in and start for them.
Stefon Diggs to move to Washington Commanders
I just wonder with all the ... why not Stefan Diggs. Why not just go ahead and get that done? ... Wouldn't surprise me. Have yourself a solid too
Jaxson Dart to finish top 10 at his position, by an unstated measure
It wouldn't surprise me at all if Jackson Dart's a top ten quarterback at some point in his career and he's fallen here at twenty seventh.
Rosenthal's picks: Lamar Jackson second, "I'm gonna go Joe Burrow forth", "I'm gonna take Herbert sixth overall", "I'm going to go with Dak Prescott next" (eighth), Brock Purty tenth, Trevor Lawrence twelfth, "I'll pair him with Caleb Williams next at fourteen", Bo Nix sixteenth, Jalen Hurts eighteenth, "I have Kyler Murray next at twenty", Tyler Shuck twenty-second, Bryce Young "at twenty four", "Malik Willis at twenty six", Mac Jones twenty-eighth, Kirk Cousins thirtieth, Jacoby Brissett thirty-second.
Ledyard's picks across the 32-quarterback draft: Josh Allen first overall, Mahomes third, Drake May fifth, Stafford seventh, Jordan Love ("he'd be eighth for me") ninth, Jared Goff eleventh, Jayden Daniels thirteenth, "CJ. Stroud is the guy" fifteenth, Sam Darnold seventeenth, Baker Mayfield nineteenth, Daniel Jones twenty-first, "Fernanda Mendozo" twenty-third, Cam Ward twenty-fifth, Jackson Dart twenty-seventh, Geno Smith twenty-ninth, "Aaron Rodgers thirty-first".
if you go down to three guys, I think the Cowboys have the best trio
Courtland Sutton to be 2nd on the depth chart
So now he's got Sutton, who again is more of a high high end two to me than than a true one
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
I know it's quote unquote quarterback competition, but I'm comfortable saying Kyler Murray will win it.