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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.37% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 69 articles (3 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
3451–3475 of 3,618
1,941 / 3,618
graded
1,677 still pending
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 11 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 14 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 47.0 accuracy (3 settled)
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
what's gonna happen is cam Ward's going number one
Travis Hunter to be picked “top ten pick” (picks 1–10)
I think in any draft he'd be a top ten pick.
Travis Hunter to finish top 4 at his position, by interceptions
if you told me at the end of the year he was a top four corner in the league. I would not be shocked.
Detroit Lions to beat expectations
expectations are going to be a lot lower, which is going to be better for them in the long run because they're not going to have that huge target on their back and they can kind of be that underdog, fly under the radar again and surprise everybody.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
I think there's a good chance we see cam Ward go one, Travis Hunter go two to the Browns, and then Abdul Carter three to the Giants.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
I think there's a good chance we see cam Ward go one, Travis Hunter go two to the Browns, and then Abdul Carter three to the Giants.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”
There's a good chance all five of these quarterbacks talking about cam Wore, chaud or Sanders Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and Jaln Milroe. There's a good chance all five of those are off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “a late one, early two”
my evaluation of Shador has been pretty consistent since the season. I think he's a late one, early two.
Jalen Milroe to be picked “round two”
If I'm a betting guy, I would say there's a better chance he goes round two, but sure you could see an avenue where he goes round one.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
Cam Ward almost certainly will go one to Tennessee.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “outside the top ten” (picks 1–10)
the Browns at two, the Giants at three, the Saints at nine. If I have to make a bet today, I say he gets through those three spots and he's outside the top ten.
Tyler Shough to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”
There's a good chance all five of these quarterbacks talking about cam Wore, chaud or Sanders Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and Jaln Milroe. There's a good chance all five of those are off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks.
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
Abdul Carter three to the Giants... I just don't think he gets out of the top three when it's all set out.
If I had to pick these three guys, like Who'd I want on my team, I would go Stingley, McDuffie, Sauce. ... But if my life depended on it, you'd have to choose Sauce because he's the least of the three. I would say, fluid athlete
Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
I think this is a Milrose situation where he goes first round guys.
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 8 wins
Keep an eye on the Atlanta Falcons over seven and a half wins... So I'm on the Falcons over seven and a half wins.
New York Jets to finish with 6 wins
I could absolutely see Aaron Glenn getting there, that team finding its way to seven wins. I like the Jets over.
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 7 wins
I love the over for the Las Vegas Raiders... I like the Raiders over six and a half.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
They are going to be able to draft an impact player at number six. Pete, I think maybe Ashton Genty.
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 12 wins
This is a tentative over for Baltimore... but I lean over for Baltimore.
Denver Broncos to finish with 9–10 wins
I think both those teams are gonna be hovering around at the end of the year eight nine to ten wins
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 9–10 wins
I think both those teams are gonna be hovering around at the end of the year eight nine to ten wins
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 8 wins
I am with the Jacksonville Jaguars over seven and a half.
Houston Texans to finish with 9–10 wins
So it feels like a nine or ten win team. Will stay away from it.
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
So yeah, I'm not the Chiefs stats an over... Chiefs over eleven and a half