Dane BruglerApr 10, 2025
The Athletic's draft analyst laid out their expected top of the draft — Cam Ward first, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland, Abdul Carter third to the Giants — while predicting Shedeur Sanders slides outside the top 10 (a late first/early second grade), Jalen Milroe goes in round two, and all five of the class's top quarterbacks come off the board within the first 50-60 picks.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Dane Brugler said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think there's a good chance we see cam Ward go one, Travis Hunter go two to the Browns, and then Abdul Carter three to the Giants.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 2 - Playoff Pressure Predictions
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidApr 10, 2025
- GradedAug 5–7, 2026
- 1Shedeur Sanders to be picked “outside the top ten” (picks 1–10)“the Browns at two, the Giants at three, the Saints at nine. If I have to make a bet today, I say he gets through those three spots and he's outside the top ten.”
- 2Cam Ward to be picked at number 1“I think there's a good chance we see cam Ward go one, Travis Hunter go two to the Browns, and then Abdul Carter three to the Giants.”
- 3Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3“Abdul Carter three to the Giants... I just don't think he gets out of the top three when it's all set out.”
- 4Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2“I think there's a good chance we see cam Ward go one, Travis Hunter go two to the Browns, and then Abdul Carter three to the Giants.”
- 5Shedeur Sanders to be picked “a late one, early two”“my evaluation of Shador has been pretty consistent since the season. I think he's a late one, early two.”
- 6Jaxson Dart to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”“There's a good chance all five of these quarterbacks talking about cam Wore, chaud or Sanders Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and Jaln Milroe. There's a good chance all five of those are off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks.”
- 7Jalen Milroe to be picked “round two”“If I'm a betting guy, I would say there's a better chance he goes round two, but sure you could see an avenue where he goes round one.”
- 8Tyler Shough to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”“There's a good chance all five of these quarterbacks talking about cam Wore, chaud or Sanders Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and Jaln Milroe. There's a good chance all five of those are off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shedeur Sanders to be picked “outside the top ten” (picks 1–10)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 144 | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Cam Ward to be picked at number 12 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Abdul Carter to be picked at number 33 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 3 | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Travis Hunter to be picked at number 24 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 2 | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Shedeur Sanders to be picked “a late one, early two”5 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Jaxson Dart to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”6 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Jalen Milroe to be picked “round two”7 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Tyler Shough to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”8 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 calls · 4 hits · 4 waiting | 100 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive8 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksShedeur Sanders
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “outside the top ten” (picks 1–10)
What happenedWent 144100Hit · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- outside the top ten (NOT picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
2Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee Titans
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
3Mock Draft PicksAbdul CarterNew York Giants
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
What happenedWent 3mocked at 3100Hit · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
4Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterCleveland Browns
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
What happenedWent 2mocked at 2100Hit · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
5Mock Draft PicksShedeur Sanders
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “a late one, early two”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jalen Milroe to be picked “round two”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tyler Shough to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.