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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
126–150 of 3,546
1,898 / 3,546
graded
1,648 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Las Vegas Raiders to beat LA Chargers
I got the Raiders winning this. The Chargers didn't show me anything that I needed to see.
Los Angeles Rams to beat New York Giants
I think the Rams are going to win this one.
Fred Warner to finish top 1 at his position, by sacks
And he's the best middle linebacker in the National Football League, and it's not particularly close.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Does this even warrant anything more than a Bucs? / Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Buffalo Bills to beat Detroit Lions
I got the Buffalo Bills in this one. I'm sorry, Detroit.
Houston Texans 24 — Cincinnati Bengals 17
I got the Houston Texans winning this game 24-17.
Chicago Bears 32 — Minnesota Vikings 19
I got the Bears winning this game 32-19.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Arizona Cardinals
I, too, like Seattle to win this game. I think they take care of the Red Hot Cardinals and move on to 2-0.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cincinnati
I think Tampa Bay goes to Cincinnati and wins outright.
Washington Commanders to pick “Likely to be picking in the top 10” (picks 1–10)
against a team that I feel like is, you know, Likely to be picking in the top 10
I think Philly might have the best D-line outside of the Rams in the whole NFL.
New York Giants to beat Dallas
We included them in the money line underdog parlay with the Giants
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tampa Bay
I think everyone has the same mentality. We all think. Joe will win, but it won't be by more than three.
Miami Dolphins to beat Las Vegas
I actually bet Miami on the money line here
Houston Texans to beat Buffalo Bills
I have now invested in Texans at plus one and a half Texans. On the money line.
New York Giants to make the playoffs
The Giants are a good wildcard team... Giants are a new playoff team, obviously.
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
Eagles, Lions, Saints, and Rams win the division.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
And in the NFC West, I flipped it. I went Seattle second, Rams first.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
Here's my herd hierarchy. We'll start at number 10 on the eve of the NFL season... Number one... the Seahawks... Where are the Chiefs? I have them in 11th. Where are the Ravens? I have them at 12.
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
I have the Bills getting to the Super Bowl.
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
NFC East. Listen, Philadelphia's roster, I'm going to take them... but I'll take them to win it.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
Listen, the Ravens and the Bengals are both going to make the playoffs.
New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs
Eagles, Lions, Saints, and Rams win the division.