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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
151–175 of 3,546
1,898 / 3,546
graded
1,648 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
New Orleans Saints to win the division
I'll take the Saints to win it.
New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs
Eagles, Lions, Saints, and Rams win the division.
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
Seahawks, Bears are great wildcard teams.
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
I know the Texans defense will be the best in the league.
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
So the playoff teams in the NFC look like this. Eagles, Lions, Saints, and Rams win the division. Seahawks, Bears are great wildcard teams. The Giants are a good wildcard team.
Detroit Lions to win the division
All right, NFC North, best division in football. I'm going to take Detroit.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
I have the Bills getting to the Super Bowl.
Arizona Cardinals to pick at number 1
And Arizona is in an absolute rebuild, potentially drafting number one next year.
New York Giants to make the playoffs
The Giants are a good wildcard team... Giants are a new playoff team, obviously.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
And in the NFC West, I flipped it. I went Seattle second, Rams first.
Here's my herd hierarchy. We'll start at number 10 on the eve of the NFL season... Number one... the Seahawks... Where are the Chiefs? I have them in 11th. Where are the Ravens? I have them at 12.
Houston Texans to win the division
AFC South... I love the Texans... So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
Eagles, Lions, Saints, and Rams win the division.
Buffalo Bills to win the division
I'm going Bills, Patriots, Jets, Dolphins.
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
So my playoff picture, Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals, Broncos
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
Seahawks, Bears are great wildcard teams.
Brian Schottenheimer to win Coach of the Year
Coach of the Year. I'm going Brian Schottenheimer.
Chris Olave to make Pro Bowl
But if Alave's on the field, like, I think that guy's a pro bowler.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
I think we get some similarities this year with that Seattle-Rams game at the end of the season dictating it. And I'm just leaning Seattle.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
But I just, I got to pick the Chiefs to make the playoffs.
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
In the NFC, I've been hammering this for a while. I'm not pivoting now a couple days before the season. I'm taking the Cowboys.
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 10 wins
Now, they were 10-7, and that's kind of what I pegged the Ravens to do.
Jared Goff to win MVP
I think Jared Goff wins it. I'm going Jared Goff, MVP.