2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico
Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified
The ballot
The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.
- Kamala Harris (Democratic)Won5 EV · 51.9% · 478,802
- Donald Trump (Republican)45.9% · 423,391
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Independent)1.0% · 9,553
- Jill Stein (Green)0.5% · 4,611
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.4% · 3,745
Kamala Harris by 6.0 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · source: fec-2024-president
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Kamala Harris4 picks · won
Every claim about this race (4)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024) — “Democrat leaners”
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico · the take
Hit · 100Jon Favreau: Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico · the take
Hit · 100Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico · the take
Hit · 100Saagar Enjeti: Kamala Harris wins NM's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in New Mexico · the take
Hit · 100