2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia
Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified
The ballot
The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.
- Kamala Harris (Democratic)Won13 EV · 51.8% · 2,333,778
- Donald Trump (Republican)46.1% · 2,074,097
- Jill Stein (Green)0.8% · 34,880
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.4% · 19,802
- Cornel West (Independent)0.2% · 8,975
Kamala Harris by 5.8 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · source: fec-2024-president
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Kamala Harris4 picks · won
Every claim about this race (5)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Ben Shapiro: Kamala Harris wins VA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take
Hit · 100Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris wins VA's presidential vote (2024) — “Democrat leaners”
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take
Hit · 100Seth Keshel: Kamala Harris: about three to five points in VA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take
Hit · 92David Pakman: Kamala Harris wins VA's presidential vote (2024) — “likely to go blue”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take
Hit · 100Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins VA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Virginia · the take
Hit · 100