2026 Kansas gubernatorial election
Governors · November 3, 2026 · no result loaded yet
The ballot
- Cindy Holscher (Democratic)—
- Ty Masterson (Republican)—
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The market · Polymarket · November 3, 2026
- Ty Masterson66¢
- Cindy Holscher36¢
A price in cents is the market's probability. This is the last price we read before the polls closed; prices taken after the vote are not shown. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any market or sportsbook. Not betting or financial advice.
The polls · VoteHub · 6 polls in 21 days · through November 1, 2026
- Ty Masterson48.6%
- Cindy Holscher48.3%
Ty Masterson by 0.3 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 9 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-10-27 – 2026-11-01 | 736 LV | Cindy Holscher 48% · Ty Masterson 47% |
| Survey 160 | 2026-10-27 – 2026-11-01 | 1267 LV | Cindy Holscher 49% · Ty Masterson 47% |
| YouGov | 2026-10-26 – 2026-10-29 | 2092 LV | Ty Masterson 50% · Cindy Holscher 49% |
| Emerson College | 2026-10-26 – 2026-10-28 | 800 LV | Ty Masterson 52.5% · Cindy Holscher 47.5% |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government | 2026-10-22 – 2026-10-26 | 801 LV | Cindy Holscher 51% · Ty Masterson 45% |
| CNN/SSRS | 2026-10-20 – 2026-10-26 | 838 LV | Ty Masterson 50% · Cindy Holscher 45% |
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-09-22 – 2026-09-30 | 605 LV | Ty Masterson 49% · Cindy Holscher 44% |
| Wedgewood Polls | 2026-09-22 – 2026-09-24 | 500 LV | Ty Masterson 52% · Cindy Holscher 48% |
| Emerson College · for Nexstar Media | 2026-09-15 – 2026-09-16 | 750 LV | Ty Masterson 51% · Cindy Holscher 44% |
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Ty Masterson4 picks
Every claim about this race (4)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
Chuck Todd: Ty Masterson wins KS governorship (2026) — “slightly favored”
Race Winners · Nov 2, 2026 · 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election · the take
PendingChuck Todd: Ty Masterson wins KS governorship (2026) — “leaning Republican on the Kansas side”
Race Winners · Oct 14, 2026 · 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election · the take
PendingChuck Todd: Ty Masterson wins KS governorship (2026) — “leaning Republican”
Race Winners · Oct 14, 2026 · 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election · the take
PendingRyan Girdusky: Ty Masterson wins KS governorship (2026) — “likely to pick up”
Race Winners · Oct 7, 2026 · 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election · the take
Pending
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