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2026 Kansas gubernatorial election

Governors · November 3, 2026 · no result loaded yet

The ballot

Beside the pundits

Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.

The market · Polymarket · November 3, 2026

  • Ty Masterson66¢
  • Cindy Holscher36¢

A price in cents is the market's probability. This is the last price we read before the polls closed; prices taken after the vote are not shown. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any market or sportsbook. Not betting or financial advice.

The polls · VoteHub · 6 polls in 21 days · through November 1, 2026

  • Ty Masterson48.6%
  • Cindy Holscher48.3%

Ty Masterson by 0.3 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.

The 9 most recent polls
PollsterDatesSampleResult
The New York Times/Siena University2026-10-27 – 2026-11-01736 LVCindy Holscher 48% · Ty Masterson 47%
Survey 1602026-10-27 – 2026-11-011267 LVCindy Holscher 49% · Ty Masterson 47%
YouGov2026-10-26 – 2026-10-292092 LVTy Masterson 50% · Cindy Holscher 49%
Emerson College2026-10-26 – 2026-10-28800 LVTy Masterson 52.5% · Cindy Holscher 47.5%
The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government2026-10-22 – 2026-10-26801 LVCindy Holscher 51% · Ty Masterson 45%
CNN/SSRS2026-10-20 – 2026-10-26838 LVTy Masterson 50% · Cindy Holscher 45%
The New York Times/Siena University2026-09-22 – 2026-09-30605 LVTy Masterson 49% · Cindy Holscher 44%
Wedgewood Polls2026-09-22 – 2026-09-24500 LVTy Masterson 52% · Cindy Holscher 48%
Emerson College · for Nexstar Media2026-09-15 – 2026-09-16750 LVTy Masterson 51% · Cindy Holscher 44%

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 11Oct 18Oct 25Nov 1Nov 8
Ty Masterson 2· 2 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Every claim about this race (4)

Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.

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