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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3601–3625 of 4,387
Colston Loveland to be picked at number 7
Let's go Colston Loveland seventh overall
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5
let's go with the Jaguars and Gent
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 6
would be Mason Graham or Walker. I'd probably lean toward Walker.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5
There could be some poetry there if they go offensive line, but I do think it's going to be gent.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
But it should be without should go without even saying Travis hunters right.
Josh Simmons to be picked at number 26
the Rams are up at twenty... They are taking Josh Simmons.
Tyler Booker to be picked at number 25
Let's go Tyler Booker Guard... the Houston Texans at twenty five
Maxwell Hairston to be picked at number 23
Let's give the Packers Maxwell Harston.
Emeka Egbuka to be picked at number 29
But I just see Amika and Buka and everything revolves around this, Wow Washington
Jalen McMillan to be picked at number 12
So let's go with what he says. Then I love a local beat writer, shout out.
Jalen Milroe to be picked “still be there at thirty four”
But I think he'll still be there at thirty four after twenty one with the Pittsburgh Steelers. No other team in the first round is going to draft a quarterback.
Riley Leonard to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”
Riley Leonard from Notre Dame, and Will Howard from Ohio State. I believe... all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.
Will Howard to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”
Will Howard from Ohio State. I believe, based on my conversations around the league, all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.
Jalen Milroe to be picked at number 24
the Giants taking Jalen Molrow at twenty four via trade with the Minnesota Vikings
Quinn Ewers to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”
It's Quinn yours with the two college football playoffs at Texas... I believe, based on my conversations around the league, all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.
Dillon Gabriel to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”
It's Dylan Gabriel from Oregon... all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21
I think they draft Dart at twenty one, get their quarterback of the future for their franchise and move on.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
You've got number one off the board, cam Ward going to the Tennessee Titans, this again according to Eric at HOLMNFL dot com.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
it is now a surefire thing that the Cleveland Browns are going to draft Travis Hunter with that second overball pick
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
They view him as the best available after Tennessee takes cam Ward with a number one pick.
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21
Jackson Dart heading to Pittsburgh... the one that I do love and I'm the biggest fan of on this list is Jackson Dart at twenty one.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top ten picks” (picks 1–10)
I want to give you some more guys that maybe aren't going to be top ten picks, like gent Is.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
We think that Travis Hunter goes two to Cleveland.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 9
Chadur going to the Saints... Shador Sanders going to the New Orleans Saints at number nine.
Kyle McCord to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”
It's Kyle mccorda played at Ohio State and then led the nation and pass at Syracuse... all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.
