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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 16, 2026

Dajani picked the Texans to upset the Jaguars in London by a final of 21-18, and also took the Falcons to beat the Bears 30-27 at home.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
69.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
36.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I predict they keep that momentum going and score an upset victory across the pond.
Jordan Dajani, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 6 odds, predictions, expert picks: Cowboys roll into Lambeau Field to face Packers
The original
Read the original
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  1. SaidOct 16
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 18
  1. 1Houston Texans 21 — Jaguars 18“CBS Sports NFL writer Jordan Dajani on why he likes Houston to pull off the 21-18 upset.”
  2. 2Atlanta Falcons 30 — Bears 27“CBS Sports NFL writer Jordan Dajani on why he has Atlanta upsetting Chicago, 30-27.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Houston Texans 21 — Jaguars 181Score PredictionsTexans 34–3110042.86+98.29
Atlanta Falcons 30 — Bears 272Score PredictionsBears 31–2338.130.95+12.29
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled69.136.9

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 69.1 out of 100, against 36.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsHouston Texans

    Houston Texans 21 — Jaguars 18

    What happenedTexans 34–31called Texans by 3 · won by 3
    100Hit · naive 42.86
    100this call42.86a naive guess57.14better than naive1.72difficulty+98.29skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 21–18 calls a Texans win (by 3; the line gave the Texans 44%) and fewer points (39).

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    98.29
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    42.86
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsAtlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons 30 — Bears 27

    What happenedBears 31–23called Falcons by 3 · lost by 8
    38.1Miss · naive 30.95
    38.1this call30.95a naive guess7.15better than naive1.72difficulty+12.29skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 30–27 calls a Falcons win (by 3; the line gave the Falcons 48%) and more points (57).

    How this was scored
    score:
    31-23
    skill:
    12.29
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    38.1
    baseline:
    30.95
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    69.1naive 36.9

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