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Andrew SicilianoFeb 26, 2026

Siciliano calls Caleb Downs the safest pick in the draft but doubts they go No. 2, and predicts Sonny Styles will dominate the combine and be drafted in the top seven, ahead of Downs.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 4Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Andrew Siciliano said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Sonny Styles is gonna go ahead of Caleb Downs.
Andrew Siciliano, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Live from the NFL Combine with Caleb Downs, NFL Insider Ian Rapoport & Andrew Siciliano
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 26
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Sonny Styles to be picked “top seven” (picks 1–7)“He's not gonna go at six. He's gonna go in the top seven.”
  2. 2Sonny Styles to be drafted ahead of Caleb Downs“And Sonny Styles is gonna go ahead of Caleb Downs.”
  3. 3Sonny Styles to post two forty plus at the combine“He's two forty plus, and he is going to run and jump like nobody at his size at linebacker that we have seen in a long, long, long time.”
  4. 4Sonny Styles to post six five at the combine“He is he is six five. Mhmm. He's two forty plus”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sonny Styles to be picked “top seven” (picks 1–7)1Mock Draft PicksWent 710050—
Sonny Styles to be drafted ahead of Caleb Downs2Prospect vs Prospect Calls—10050+50
Sonny Styles to post two forty plus at the combine3Combine Measurements————
Sonny Styles to post six five at the combine4Combine Measurements————
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 waiting10050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 combine measurements, 1 mock draft pick and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
top seven (picks 1–7)They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to be picked “top seven” (picks 1–7)

    What happenedWent 7
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top seven (picks 1–7)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Prospect vs Prospect CallsSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to be drafted ahead of Caleb Downs

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this call50a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    claim:
    Sonny Styles drafted ahead of Caleb Downs
    draft:
    2026
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    Sonny Styles went 7, Caleb Downs went 11
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    compared to:
    Caleb Downs
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Combine MeasurementsSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to post two forty plus at the combine

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Combine MeasurementsSonny Styles

    Sonny Styles to post six five at the combine

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 50

Others on the same people

More combine measurements

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.