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Ollie ConnollyApr 2, 2026

Connelly expects Texas linebacker Anthony Hill to be drafted in the second round despite their reservations, sees Caden McDonald sneaking into the back of the first round and Lee Hunter going in the second, and warns that Caleb Banks — because of the recurring foot injury and disappearing stretches — will break the heart of whoever drafts them.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 1 waiting
94.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Ollie Connolly said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He's six three two three, he's going to be twenty years old, so it's like the perfect profile if you can get him in the second round where I think he will go.
Ollie Connolly, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Ranking the 2026 NFL Draft: Linebackers, Safeties and Defensive Tackles
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 2
  2. GradedAug 5–7
  1. 1Kayden McDonald to be picked “back of the first round” (picks 1–32)“someone, like McDonald who i think will be the one who sneaks into the back of the first round”
  2. 2Lee Hunter to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)“I Think lee hunt is more of the room plugging guys who would go into go in the. SECOND round”
  3. 3Anthony Hill to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)“it's like the perfect profile if you can get him in the second round where I think he will go to invest that time in two three years and then become a full time starter”
  4. 4Caleb Banks to disappoint at the next level“so he's the one who's probably gonna break, your heart whether GM's like i just feel it in. My bones if we can get him in, the building ... and in three years you're wondering why you drafted the Guy”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kayden McDonald to be picked “back of the first round” (picks 1–32)1Mock Draft PicksWent 3684.0950—
Lee Hunter to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)2Mock Draft PicksWent 4910050—
Anthony Hill to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)3Mock Draft PicksWent 6010050—
Caleb Banks to disappoint at the next level4Draft Bust Calls————
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting94.750

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 draft bust call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 94.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
back of the first round (picks 1–32)They said
36What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksKayden McDonald

    Kayden McDonald to be picked “back of the first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 36
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kayden McDonald
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    back of the first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksLee Hunter

    Lee Hunter to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    What happenedWent 49
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Lee Hunter
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    49
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksAnthony Hill

    Anthony Hill to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)

    What happenedWent 60
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Anthony Hill
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    60
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Draft Bust CallsCaleb Banks

    Caleb Banks to disappoint at the next level

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    94.7naive 50

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