Mike Florio· Aug 21, 2025
Florio drafted CeeDee Lamb, Malik Nabers, A.J. Brown, De'Von Achane, Trey McBride and TreVeyon Henderson, calling Achane his RB4, McBride his TE1 for the season, and Henderson an RB1 this year. He also said Jackson Dart eventually takes over as the Giants' starter.
“I think Henderson's gonna be an RB one this year.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call and 1 fantasy ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 82.5 out of 100, against 72.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy RankingsAug 21, 2025
“Florio's picks: CeeDee Lamb 4th, Malik Nabers 9th, A.J. Brown 14th, De'Von Achane 19th, Trey McBride 24th, TreVeyon Henderson 29th.”
Close · 55Scored 55a naive guess scored 50+10 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 10
- placed:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 6
- accuracy:
- 55
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- WR 3: 25, RB 2: 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesTrey McBrideArizona CardinalsAug 21, 2025
Trey McBride to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“my tight end one in my rankings is Train McBride... if he has positive touchdown regression, he can he could one be the tight end one”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 66.67+66.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 66.67
- player:
- Trey McBride
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 66.67
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
- actual finish:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Depth Chart CallsJaxson DartNew York GiantsAug 21, 2025
Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart
“At some point Jackson Dart's taken over there.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Jaxson Dart
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesDe'Von AchaneMiami DolphinsAug 21, 2025
De'Von Achane to finish top 4 at his position, by fantasy points
“I'll go with Devon Han who is my RB four.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 83.33-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- De'Von Achane
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 9
- actual finish:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 4
TreVeyon Henderson to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
“And like if Mike Rabral agrees and Josh McDaniel agrees, I think Henderson's gonna be an RB one this year.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · New York GiantsHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0Broussard picked the Bills to beat the Chargers in a competitive, higher-scoring game, said the Chiefs will rout the Dolphins, and for upset alert parlayed the Patriots over the Jaguars and the Raiders over the Saints. He also restated his Cowboys-versus-Ravens Super Bowl matchup pick.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsMiss · 0In the winners-only chips segment Parkins backed the Patriots over the Jaguars, the Bengals over the Steelers and the Ravens over the Cowboys in Brazil. He also said New England has a real shot at a top-10 defense and that Kayshon/Romeo Dobbs will be the Patriots' number one target.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.