Grant CohnOct 25, 2026
Cohn predicted a low-scoring Falcons win over the 49ers, 19-16, with San Francisco kicker Eddy Pineiro missing a kick for the seventh straight game. They also called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the NFL.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Grant Cohn said
Final score prediction: 49ers 16, Falcons 19.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons Live Scores and Updates
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 25
- PlayedOct 25
- GradedOct 25
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 85.7 out of 100, against 77.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsAtlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons 19 — 49ers 16
What happenedFalcons 29–20called Falcons by 3 · won by 985.71Hit · naive 77.8985.71this call−77.89a naive guess=7.82better than naive×1.67difficulty=+13.06skillClosing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 19–16 calls a Falcons win (by 3; the line gave the Falcons 42%) and fewer points (35).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 20-29
- skill:
- 13.06
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 85.71
- baseline:
- 77.89
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 3
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.
More score predictions
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Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.