David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 6, 2026

In a mock draft, Harrison has the Commanders trade up to No. 4 (from Tennessee) and select Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles, followed by picks of Davison Igbonosin, Dijon Stribling, Jagger Burton, Armaje Reed Adams, VJ Payne and Roman Hemby. They also project the Giants taking Caleb Downs at No. 3 and the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at No. 7.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 9calls landed2 hits · 4 close calls · 3 misses · 2 waiting

49.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls

50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

9 of 11Settled2 still waiting

#57David Harrison’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What David Harrison said

we do get Sonny Styles at number four for the Washington commanders at a better price than we paid to get him at number three.

David Harrison, the lead quote

Where it was said: Locked On Commanders (podcast)
The episode: BANG FOR THEIR BUCKS: Commanders Mock Draft Trade Adds Sonny Styles and Day 2 Pick
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidApr 6
GradedOct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Close	Misses	Waiting
Mock Draft Picks	2	4	3	0
Trade and Signing Calls	0	0	0	1
Team Draft Slot Calls	0	0	0	1
All	2	4	3	2

How each call scored

11 checkable claims — 9 mock draft picks, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

9 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 49.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

147They said

153What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks2 hits · 4 close calls · 3 missesShow ▸

Jager Burton to be picked at number 147
“Number one forty seven, Jagger Burton, center out of Kentucky.”
Jager Burton Washington Commanders
Went 153mocked at 147
77.11Close
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Jager Burton
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
153
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
147
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?
Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 187
“Number one eighty seven, Armaaj Armage Reed, Adams, guard out of Texas a and m”
Ar'maj Reed-Adams Washington Commanders
Went 241mocked at 187
9.64Miss
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
9.64
baseline:
50
actual pick:
241
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
9.64
predicted pick:
187
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?
De'Zhaun Stribling to be picked at number 101
“They're number one zero one, which we also get from Tennessee. ... Dijon Stripling, wide receiver out of Ole Miss”
De'Zhaun Stribling Washington Commanders
Went 33mocked at 101
5.26Miss
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
De'Zhaun Stribling
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
5.26
baseline:
50
actual pick:
33
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
5.26
predicted pick:
101
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?
Victor Payne to be picked at number 209
“number two zero nine, BJ Payne, safety out of Kansas State”
Victor Payne Washington Commanders
Went 228mocked at 209
43.91Close
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Victor Payne
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
43.91
baseline:
50
actual pick:
228
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
43.91
predicted pick:
209
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 7
“the Tennessee titans, they get Jeremiah Love, who I think they're gonna take a number four, at number seven”
Jeremiyah Love Tennessee Titans
Went 3mocked at 7
84.09Hit
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“we do get Sonny Styles at number four for the Washington commanders”
Sonny Styles Washington Commanders
Went 7mocked at 4
87.81Hit
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?
Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 71
“Number 71, Davison Igmanosin, cornerback out of Ohio State”
Davison Igbinosun Washington Commanders
Went 62mocked at 71
67.71Close
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Davison Igbinosun
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
62
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
71
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?
Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223
“the number two twenty three, Roman Hemby, running back out of Indiana”
Roman Hemby Washington Commanders
Went undraftedmocked at 223
0Miss
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Roman Hemby
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with LV
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
223
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 3
“The Giants do go Caleb Downs in the mock draft that we ran here.”
Caleb Downs New York Giants
Went 11mocked at 3
70.71Close
mock order 92.86 − 50 for a shuffle = 42.86 × 1 difficulty = +42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this is wrong?

Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸

Dexter Lawrence to move to Washington Commanders
“Do not believe in any way, shape, or form the Giants would be interested in trading him in the division, however. So, commanders trade not likely”
Dexter Lawrence Washington Commanders
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Team Draft Slot Calls1 waitingShow ▸

Washington Commanders to pick at number 4
“the Washington players get number four, and they end up getting number 101”
Washington Commanders
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?