Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 20, 2025
Rich Eisen ranked their top five winners of the NFL offseason so far, with the Commanders first, followed by the Vikings, Bears, Rams and Raiders (adding the Eagles as an extra), and argued the Raiders' new formula of Pete Carroll, Geno Smith and a possible Ashton Jeanty addition would produce a winning record.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromYou're gonna win more games than than you lose with a formula like that, and then you could build from there.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Top 5 NFL Free Agency Winners
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 20, 2025
- GradedAug 13, 2026
- 1Power Rankings“My top five winners of the off season so far... Number five is the Raiders... number four of the Los Angeles Rams... The bears are three... Number two on my list... are the Vikings... number one on the list... What a what a brilliant march for the Washington commanders”
- 2Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins“Genti and Mostert with Gino and Bowers and, you know, Jacoby Myers. It's you're gonna win more games than than you lose with a formula like that... the nonsense of the four wins and three wins, I I think are over.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “My top five winners of the off season so far... Number five is…”1 | Power Rankings | — | 50 | 60 | −20 | |
| Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins2 | Season Win Totals | 3 | 0 | 35 | −70 | |
| 2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 25 | 47.5 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
All 2 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 47.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
“My top five winners of the off season so far... Number five is the Raiders... number four of the Los Angeles Rams... The bears are three... Number two on my list... are the Vikings... number one on the list... What a what a brilliant march for the Washington commanders”
VerdictClose50Close · naive 6050this call−60a naive guess=−10worse than naive×2difficulty=−20skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −20
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 60
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Season Win TotalsLas Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 9 wins
What happened3called 90Miss · naive 350this call−35a naive guess=−35worse than naive×2difficulty=−70skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- LV
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- −70
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 35
- they said:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
25naive 47.5
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Broussard · Game Outcome Picks · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 100
Broussard picked the Ravens to beat the Bills in a shootout, 38-34, took the Raiders to upset the Jets, and said Detroit would beat the Vikings.John Breech · Score Predictions · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 95
Breech's Week 8 score predictions include Bengals over Titans, Raiders over Jets, Rams over Chargers and Patriots over Dolphins.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 100
Sullivan's Week 8 upset alert column flags five favorites they expect to lose: they pick the Falcons over the Buccaneers, the Raiders over the Jets, the undefeated Vikings over the Lions, the Ravens (with Lamar Jackson returning) over the Bills, and the Browns over the Steelers.Ezekiel Trezevant · Game Outcome Picks · Las Vegas Raiders · Hit 100
Trezevant argues that if the Raiders are as improved as they appeared at 3-0, they should beat the Jets in Week 8 on the road and end their four-game losing streak.
More power rankings
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Brockman · Power Rankings · Close 50
Brockman argued the Eagles' defense is the NFL's best and will drag a mediocre offense to the NFC championship, that the NFC North sends only two teams to the playoffs with the Bears among them, that the Rams are the league's best team, that a healthy Brock Purdy makes the 49ers an NFC threat who will beat the Saints and Falcons, and that the Panthers win the NFC South.Nick Wright · Power Rankings · Miss 0
The host's five Week 9 NFL picks: Detroit over Minnesota, Pittsburgh +3 vs. Indianapolis, San Francisco over the Giants, Kansas City over Buffalo at Buffalo, and Seattle over Washington. They also call the Chiefs the best team in the league and Jonathan Taylor the NFL's best running back this year.Chris Brockman · Power Rankings · Miss 0
Brockman argued only about five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl, naming the Bills, Eagles, Ravens and Chargers among them; they also picked Justin Herbert as MVP through three weeks, called the Colts a top-five team with Daniel Jones as an MVP finalist, said the Bears will finish top two in the NFC North, said the Bengals' season is cooked and they'll pick in the top 10, said the Rams are the only NFC threat to the Eagles, and said the Bucs have a team-of-destiny feel.