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Lance MooreApr 24, 2026

Lance Moore agreed the Commanders had to take Sonny Styles at No. 7, later declared the Giants would definitely take Caleb Downs at No. 10, and said Downs has perennial All-Pro potential.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 1 waiting
97.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 3Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Lance Moore said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So the Giants are Giants are definitely gonna take Caleb downs at ten.
Lance Moore, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
SAINTS SQUAD SHOW: Reacting LIVE To New Orleans Saints FIRST ROUND PICK in 2026 NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 23
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7“It likely. It better be. It better be. Bobby Wagner is a free agent. They need a line I mean, it I feel like that's gotta be the guy.”
  2. 2Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10“So the Giants are Giants are definitely gonna take Caleb downs at ten.”
  3. 3Caleb Downs to make All-Pro“I just think Caleb Downs is one of those guys that has perennial all pro written all over him.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 71Mock Draft PicksWent 710050+50
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 102Mock Draft PicksWent 1195.7650+50
Caleb Downs to make All-Pro3Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls————
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 waiting97.950

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 97.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
7They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesWashington Commanders

    Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7

    What happenedWent 7mocked at 7
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew York Giants

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    What happenedWent 11mocked at 10
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Pro Bowl and All-Pro CallsCaleb Downs

    Caleb Downs to make All-Pro

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    97.9naive 50

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