Skip to main content

Pete MartuneacOct 5, 2026

Martuneac power ranks the NFC North a quarter of the way through 2026, placing the 3-1 Bears first ahead of the unbeaten Vikings, with the Lions third and the Packers last. They also expect Green Bay's 2027 first-rounder to land in the top 10 and sees Chicago becoming the NFC's Super Bowl favorite once Caleb Williams is healthy.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Pete Martuneac said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
The Bears appear to be hitting their stride, and once Williams returns to the starting line up, they should become the favorites to represent the NFC in Super Bowl LXI.
Pete Martuneac, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
NFC North Roundup: Second-Place Bears are the Class of the Division
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl“once Williams returns to the starting line up, they should become the favorites to represent the NFC in Super Bowl LXI.”
  2. 2Green Bay Packers to pick “Top 10 selection” (picks 1–10)“the Packers don't even have control of their first-round pick in the 2027 NFL draft, and that could very well become a Top 10 selection.”
  3. 3Power Rankings“Which team is truly the class of the NFC North? Let's get started with a division power ranking. 4. Green Bay Packers: 2-2 ... 3. Detroit Lions: 2-2 ... 2. Minnesota Vikings: 4-0 ... 1. Chicago Bears: 3-1”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl1Conference Champions————
Green Bay Packers to pick “Top 10 selection” (picks 1–10)2Team Draft Slot Calls————
“Which team is truly the class of the NFC North? Let's get…”3Power Rankings————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 1 conference champion, 1 power ranking and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

Reaches the Super BowlThey said
Did not reach it2025

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Team Draft Slot CallsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to pick “Top 10 selection” (picks 1–10)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Power Rankings

    “Which team is truly the class of the NFC North? Let's get started with a division power ranking. 4. Green Bay Packers: 2-2 ... 3. Detroit Lions: 2-2 ... 2. Minnesota Vikings: 4-0 ... 1. Chicago Bears: 3-1”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.